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An Uneasy Status Quo: Muddling through Nuclear Negotiations

An Uneasy Status Quo: Muddling through Nuclear Negotiations

상세내역
저자 박정현
소속 및 직함 브루킹스 연구소
발행기관 사단법인 한국국가전략연구원
학술지 한국국가전략
권호사항 5(1)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 7-27
발행 시기 2020년
키워드 #Status Quo   #Nuclear Negotiation   #Nuclear Weapon   #Denuclearization   #Kim Jong Un   #and Donald Trump   #박정현
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초록
Around this time two years ago, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pivoted to diplomacy after six years of blustery threats and self-imposed isolation, and metamorphosed into an international statesman, with the help of President Donald Trump. Yet two years and three Trump-Kim meetings later, we are still at the pre-summitry status quo, with Kim this month reaffirming North Korea’s position as a nuclear weapons power. The past 19 months of summits have not moved North Korea closer to denuclearization, rather, they have enabled North Korea to make their weapons more diverse, more mobile, more accurate, and more dangerous. The two sides appear to be keeping the option of additional diplomacy to occur, but the personalization of diplomacy between Kim and Trump has lessened US leverage necessary to convince Kim to abandon his nuclear weapons and has put the region in a more precarious situation in 2020.
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