[학술논문] The Possibilities and Limitations of North-South Korean Arms Control and Future Action Plans

...disparity, ideological confrontation, and experience of war between the two Koreas, political status of the North Korean military, diplomatic isolation of the North, and the North Korean nuclear issue restricts opportunity of arms control dialogue between the North and the South. Inter-Korean arms control can be successful only if it is based on mutual trust and confidence. With a gradual and phased approach...

[학술논문] The Effects of the US-China Trade Conflict on South Korea

...South Korea’s largest trading partner is China, while the country relies on the US with respect to its security. The trade war is likely to negatively affect its economy, although it may supply an opportunity for South Korea due to the US restrictions on technology transfer to China. The impact on South Korea’s security is likely to be limited, considering that the two countries are unlikely to cooperate...

[학술논문] The North Korean Nuclear Program: From a Conditional Bargaining Chip to the Ultima Ratio in Deterrence

...conducted nuclear weapons tests. In addition, it launched missiles in an attempt to advance and showcase its related technologies. As a consequence, the fact of the matter is that the DPRK has repositioned itself today. This repositioning is of a fundamental nature and will not be impacted by any tactical maneuvering or short-term political concessions. In this paper, I claim that the opportunity to achieve...

[학술논문] Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take?

...moment for engagement with Pyongyang, another point of leverage over how its nuclear weapons program evolves, and a new opportunity to determine whether it can be influenced to recommit to the global nuclear non proliferation and disarmament regime. We believe that it may be possible to slow and even reverse the DPRK’s nuclear breakout by collaboration that assists it to develop small light water reactors...

[학술논문] Implementing a Japanese-Korea Nuclear Weapon Free Zone: Precedents, Legal Forms, Governance, Scope and Domain, Verification and Compliance, and Regional Benefits

...Internationally, the commitment of the US Obama Administration to a reduced reliance on nuclear weapons, the recent unanimous final document of the 2010 NPT Review Conference calling for expansion of NWFZs, and the greater openness of the US and other nuclear powers to NWFZ establishment in areas of regional conflict, suggest that we now have a new window of opportunity for denuclearization of Northeast Asia.

[해외] Should Japan change its approach to North Korean denuclearization?

...failed bilateral contact in Mongolia in 2024, relations remain stalled, with little prospect for near-term improvement. While a potential resumption of U.S.-North Korea dialogue could create an opportunity to reopen talks, this too presents significant challenges. Simultaneously, declining Japan-China relations in the previous year have further complicated the Northeast Asian security environment...

[해외] Why Korea's Nuclear-Powered Submarine Matters to U.S. Strategy

... The details are still being worked out. What matters now is how Seoul and Washington go about turning words into warships. This is not just a Korean capability upgrade. In an era of intensifying undersea competition and growing demands on U.S. forces, this is a strategic opportunity for the alliance, as well as for security in the Indo-Pacific.

[국내] For Kim Jong Un, Trump is the Best, and the Last, Opportunity

...promised in the last meeting? As many experts speculate over the prospects of the upcoming summit between the two unpredictable leaders, one thing seems to be clear. Mr. Trump represents a unique opportunity for Kim. Trump is unique because he is the first American president, and possibly the only one, who is willing to meet with Kim without many preconditions. This is exactly what happened in the last...

[국내] 북한군 파병이 북한 체제 안정에 미치는 영향 분석

...out socialist revolution and protect the supreme leader and the people, has now been reduced to cannon fodder for Russia’s interests. However, North Korea also views the deployment as a strategic opportunity to break through its prolonged international isolation—caused by extended sanctions—by strengthening ties with Russia. Militarily, key North Korean forces such as the Storm Corps have been exposed...

[국내] 바이든 행정부 출범 이후 북미관계 평가와 전망: 전략적 의도를 중심으로

...dialogue under its current foreign strategy considerations. Currently, opportunity factors and constraints coexist in the state of stagnation in U.S.-North Korea relations. North Korea's relatively less aggressive attitude in comparison with the past, such as refraining from messages criticizing the U.S. can be evaluated as opportunity factors. On the other hand, the fact that North Korea is unlikely to...