The contents of the campaign and foreign policy during Trump’s years in office suggest that his re-election would likely result in a reduction of the U.S. role as a global security umbrella and an increase in shared responsibilities among allied nations. This is precisely the reason U.S. allies and partners are contemplating on how to Trump-proof themselves. However, will Trump, who disregards alliances and underestimates the connection between the security of the U.S. and global security, really be elected? This paper examines the factors that will determine the election outcomes between Joe Biden and Donald Trump at this juncture.