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국내

IFANS Forecast 2023

상세내역
저자 외교안보연구소
소속 및 직함
발행기관 외교안보연구소
학술지 국제정세전망
권호사항 2023(1)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 1-9
발행 시기 2024년
키워드 #KoreanPeninsula   #NorthKorea   #KoreaChinaRelations:KoreaUSRelations   #NortheastAsia   #외교안보연구소
조회수 113
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상세내역
초록
North Korea’s Internal Landscape The Pyongyang regime under Kim Jong-un has delivered on full-scale efforts to revive past policies across multiple fronts - foreign policy, economic, social, and cultural affairs, which signals a significant policy reversion. The Kim regime has reiterated its adherence to this policy initiative until the 9th Party Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea (WPK) scheduled at the end of 2025. A series of renewed efforts at tightening the WPK’s grip on the country’s economy starkly manifest this shift. Pyongyang vowed to roll back its previous economic policy marked by tacit approval for lower-level economic units’ autonomy and delegation of authority, to build the most optimal economic structure for augmenting its nuclear war-fighting capabilities through centralized resource allocation. By contrast, the North Korean people who are accustomed to the spread of private markets, and mid-level government officials involved in private interest networks appear to harbor grievances. Against this backdrop, the North Korean regime will likely pivot to ideological reversion enshrined in the slogan of “Constructing an Ideal Socialist Country,” partially resuming trade with China and Russia under its supervision to improve the supply of essential goods to keep the domestic situation under control.