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China's Views on the Potential Instability in North Korea: With Implications for South Korea

상세내역
저자 김흥규
소속 및 직함 성신여자대학교
발행기관 일민국제관계연구원
학술지 온라인시리즈
권호사항 (12)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 1-21
발행 시기 2025년
키워드 #China's Views   #Potential   #Instability   #North Korea   #Implications   #South Korea   #김흥규
조회수 2
원문보기
상세내역
초록
The purpose of this paper is to outline possible scenarios of North Korea’s contingency and to analyze China’s corresponding policies and their implications for South Korea. China’s responses to North Korea’s contingency may be heavily influenced by the power configuration of evolving strategic schools, reflecting their perceptions of domestic social/economic situations, international contexts, and interactions with ROK and the U.S. when it occurs. Among the variables, the most important single variable is likely the U.S.-China relations. The bottom line of China’s policy objectives is to maintain or reinstate the status-quo in the region. China’s responses must vary according to stages and progresses of North Korean contingency. It is noteworthy that China is unlikely to favor unilateral and direct military intervention.
이전글, 다음글
다음글 2012년 북한 신년공동사설 분석
이전글 KDI 북한경제리뷰 2012년 1월
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