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Politico-Military;Repercussions of North Korean Crisis

상세내역
저자 한용섭
소속 및 직함 국방대학교
발행기관 일민국제관계연구원
학술지 온라인시리즈
권호사항 (4)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 1-23
발행 시기 2025년
키워드 #Politico-Military   #Repercussions   #North Korean   #Crisis   #한용섭
조회수 2
원문보기
상세내역
초록
The collapse of the North Korean system means the collapse of the total establishment of the state. This, in turn, means a breakdown of North Korea's ruling system, in short a state of anarchy deriving from a paralyzed central ruling system. Experts equate "a state of anarchy, or an overall paralysis of governing and administrative powers, compounded by a weakened concentration of military power," with North Korea's collapse.1 Yet, over the short term, one should not conclude that a North Korean collapse will necessarily be accompanied by an extensive disturbance among the people or a violent, bloody struggle of a small group of officers in the military.
If a North Korean collapse did not occur in a vacuum, one needs to think about how Kim Jong-il's monolithic system or Kim Jong-un's succession system collapsed. The reason is, the hereditary succession from Kim Il-sung to Kim Jong-il to Kim Jong-un can be likened to a monolithic theocratic dictatorship. If a Kim Jong-il−Kim Jong-un system broke down in a situation where no individual or group could possibly replace the Kim family rule, there must have been a process.