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Refugees, Internal Displacement, and the Future of the Korean Peninsula

20170202

상세내역
저자 CSIS
소속 및 직함 Bridget Coggins
발행기관 https://beyondparallel.csis.org/refugees-internal-displacement-and-the-future-of-the-korean-peninsula/
권호사항
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수
발행 시기 년
키워드 #CHINA   # INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
조회수 148
원문보기
상세내역
초록
Refugees, and the fate of civilians in general, are critical to planning in case of dramatic political instability in North Korea. Most concerning strategically is that civilians attempting to flee to China would prompt the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to intervene in North Korea, and could lead to further internationalization because the South and its allies would also intervene in response.1 Unfortunately, existing estimates of refugee flows are too vague to contribute to the careful contingency planning required.2 Still, we can arrive at better estimates of whether, when, and where North Koreans might seek refuge by examining civilian flight from current civil wars, and by customizing the projections with country-specific demographic, topographic, and infrastructural data.z
이전글, 다음글
다음글 Countering the North Korean Threat: New Steps in U.S. Policy
이전글 Changing DPRK Demands Customized Approach to Freedom of Information Advocacy
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