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학술논문

북한 미사일과 핵실험이 한국방문객의 방문목적별 수요변동 반응에 미친 반복효과에 관한 연구

The Effect of Repeated Missile and Nuclear Hostility on Volatility of Inbound Tourist Demand in South Korea

상세내역
저자 최인묵
소속 및 직함 경희대학교
발행기관 한국호텔관광학회
학술지 호텔관광연구
권호사항 17(6)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 23-39
발행 시기 2025년
키워드 #Inbound tourism   #Missile and nuclear hostility   #The repetition effect   #Historical volatility   #Controlled experiment   #최인묵
조회수 2
원문보기
상세내역
초록
The military hostility over the decade (2004 to 2013) in Korean peninsula, controlled by North Korea (DPRK), can be divided into two categories of repetition and random event. This paper, using a controlled experimental method, is focused on estimating how foreign visitors to South Korea react to the two repeated events, depending on the purpose of the visit. This study is the second test to investigate the effect of military hostility on international tourism and destination choice. Compared with the first study, this experimental test will focus on the number of incident repetitions, using data from the missile and nuclear tests during the decade, and according to effect size controlled by the number of times beginning with the 1st to the 3rd tests only. The purpose of visit to South Korea is divided into the four groups of pleasure/tour, official, business, and others. The results show that the group whose purpose is to tour and for pleasure has a significant reaction to volatility of both missile and nuclear hostility.
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