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Playing Blind-Man’s Buff: Estimating North Korea’s Cyber Capabilities

상세내역
저자 Tobias Feakin
소속 및 직함 Australian Strategic Policy Institute
발행기관 통일연구원
학술지 International Journal of Korean Unification Studies
권호사항 22(2)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 63-90
발행 시기 2025년
키워드 #cyber espionage   #cyber attack   #intelligence agencies   #cyber policy   #asymmetry   #Tobias Feakin
조회수 13
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초록
This paper aims to create a clearer understanding of the size and scope of North Korean cyber capabilities. Due to the opaque and secretive nature of the North Korean regime, and the difficulties of attribution in cyberspace, it is problematic to present a complete picture of the North’s malicious activities in cyberspace. This paper presents an open source literature based review of this issue. It begins by defining terminology used to describe cyber threats, and whilst seemingly these threats are new, cyberspace has merely facilitated a new method of achieving old ends. North Korean motivations for developing cyber capabilities are examined, followed by an examination of the historical context to their development of such efforts, and a breakdown of the various North Korean military departments involved cyber activities is presented. An analysis of the growing private sector-led evidential trail of North Korean cyber attacks is followed by an assessment of the impacts that these attacks have had on South Korean policymaking, and operational responses. Finally the author examines the potential impacts fornational and regional destabilisation that unabated North Korean cyberattacks could have, concluding that severe damage to South Korea’s economic, political and international reputation could be a distinctly negative consequence.
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