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학술논문

한반도 여름 강우량의 변화에서 1996년을 중심으로 나타나는 남북진동 패턴

The South-North Oscillation Centered on 1996 in Korean Summer Rainfall Variability

상세내역
저자 최기선, 김도우, 변희룡, 오수빈
소속 및 직함 기상청
발행기관 한국기상학회
학술지 대기
권호사항 20(2)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 91-100
발행 시기 2026년
키워드 #Summer rainfall   #empirical orthogonal function   #convection   #최기선   #김도우   #변희룡   #오수빈
조회수 2
원문보기
상세내역
초록
In accordance with the time series of rainfall in summer (June, July and August) in South and North Korea for recent 28 years (1981~2008), rainfall is substantially increased in South Korea since 1996, while it is significantly decreased in North Korea. In particular, the decreasing tendency of rainfall in summer in North Korea is more definitely observed during the 2nd rainy season (late August - mid September) in intraseasonal variation. Such a feature is also confirmed in the spatial distribution of oscillation pattern between South and North Korea on the basis of 1996 which is obtained by empirical orthogonal function analysis using the summer rainfall observed in all weather observation stations in South and North Korea. For the decreasing tendency of rainfall in North Korea, it is found that northeasterlies from anticyclonic circulation centered on around Baikal Lake weaken convective activity during summer. On the contrary, the increasing tendency of rainfall in South Korea is related to the strengthened cyclonic circulation in the southern region of China and accordingly, enhances southwesterlies in South Korea.
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