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학술논문

A Study on the Intelligence Activity and the Risk Assessment of the U.S. Military

상세내역
저자 정성윤
소속 및 직함 고려대학교
발행기관 일민국제관계연구원
학술지 국제관계연구
권호사항 15(2)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 45-69
발행 시기 2026년
키워드 #U.S. Navy   #USS Pueblo Incident   #Intelligence Activity   #Crisis Management   #Risk Assessment   #정성윤
조회수 1
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상세내역
초록
This paper is empirical research that looks into the composition of the U.S. military’s intelligence gathering activities and risk assessment efforts through a case study of 1968’s Pueblo incident. This research utilizes a wide range of comprehensive raw materials and presents the following lessons. First, the U.S. military insisted the mission be carried out despite analysis from U.S. intelligence agencies and repeated warnings from North Korea. Second, due to contradictions in the structure of the U.S. military’s operational management system, final risk assessment work on operational responsibility was carried out carelessly. Third, by not properly preparing the U.S. military’s emergency response system, the U.S. could not prevent North Korea from capturing the Pueblo. These conclusions suggest lessons that can be applied to the sinking of the South Korean corvette — Cheonan — in the west sea off the coast of the Korean Peninsula in March 2010.
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