[학술논문] How to Deter North Korea’s Military Provocations
This study identifies reasons why North Korea initiates conflicts against South Korea and its allies, and also provides suggestions to deter North Korea’s future provocations. Logistic models with robust standard errors indicate North Korea is likely to adopt hostile foreign policies when it is prior to and following leadership succession and when the United States is involved in a war. Moreover...
[학술논문] ROK-US Cooperation in Deterring North Korea’s Military Threat
...examine potential military threats from North Korea and the countermeasures that the ROK and the US should prepare. This paper aims at studying the nature of North Korea’s military threats and various types of provocations and analyzing ROK-US cooperation to deter North Korea’s provocative actions. First, this paper points out that North Korea has been utilizing provocations to help secure...
[학술논문] 한국 안보딜레마의 의미와 우리의 선택: 주요현안과 대주변국관계
...existing US-guaranteed Korean security, despite the fact that this may result in a more heightened level of military tension on the Korean peninsula. On the other hand, we can make a cautious attempt to capitalize upon Chinese influence on North Korea—keeping it from military provocations against the South and encouraging it to engage in inter-Korean reconciliation, albeit a weakened Korea-US...
[학술논문] 북한의 3차 핵 실험 이후 중․북관계 변화의 의미
...China’s current behavioral change is nothing but to make the North shift its current strategies and to adopt China-recommended suggestions, including no nuclear Korean peninsula, no military provocations, and dialogue with concerning states. Given China having no intention to shift fundamentally its Sino-North Korean relations, we should abstain ourselves from too much overestimating China’s...
[학술논문] The Trust-building Process on the Korean Peninsula: A Paradigm Shift in Seoul’s North Korea Policy
...mainly about policy measures, which included military force, negotiations, sanctions and strategic patience. However, the Trust-building Process emphasizes that it is upon trust where policy measures can have more stable and lasting effect, and inter-Korean relations can develop sustainably. Assertive retaliation against North Korea’s provocations is not aimed at the North Korean political system...