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학술논문

North Korean Nuclear Nationalism and the Threat of Nuclear War in Korea

상세내역
저자 Peter Hayes, Scott Bruce
소속 및 직함 RMIT University
발행기관 국제관계연구소
학술지 Pacific Focus
권호사항 26(1)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 65-89
발행 시기 2026년
키워드 #North Korea   #Nuclear Weapons   #South Korea   #Cheonan   #Nuclear Weapon Free Zone   #Nuclear Deterrence   #Proliferation   #Peter Hayes   #Scott Bruce
조회수 3
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초록
This essay reviews the status of nuclear threat in Korea and analyses the appropriate policy response to the emergence of the DPRK as a nuclear-armed state. We suggest that as of 2009, the DPRK made the ROK the main target of its nuclear strategy rather than the United States as was the case from 1991-2009. The sinking of the ROK corvette Cheonan in 2010 provides a mini-case study of the collision of ROK and DPRK historical trajectories, and portends continuing clashes involving nuclear threat that need to be managed to avoid escalation to nuclear next-use. The artillery attack on Yeonpyeong island in November 2010 may be the second in what proves to be a series of such risky provocations. We conclude the paper by outlining the advantages of a ROK-Japan only nuclear weapon free zone relative to alternative ROK responses to the threat posed by the DPRK nuclear breakout. In an Epilogue, we reflect on the methodological difficulties posed by the DPRK in interpreting its nuclear statements.
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