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학술자료
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[학술논문] Planning for North Korean Collapse: Military Missions and Requirements
...of communication, and conduct stability operations. Staffing all five missions, under this relatively benign scenario, would require 300,000 to 400,000 personnel. Table 1 (below) summarizes our calculations. As discussed above, many analysts would object to our assumption of a relatively benign collapse scenario. They might argue that North Korea’ military will fight to the bitter end, or that...
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[학술논문] The Rise and Fall of Inter-Korean Rapprochement: Shock, Leadership Change, Threat Perception and Strategic Calculation
...explores the dynamics behind the ebb and flow of rivalry rapprochement between South Korea and North Korea. I argue that such rapprochement is driven by shifts in threat perceptions and strategic calculations. Rivals recalibrate their behavior as these perceptions and goals evolve—changes that typically require a significant external or internal stimulus. Environmental disruptions, such as shocks...
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[학술논문] 북한의 친환경 건축 연구동향 변화 및 특징 분석 - 1990년~2018년까지 발간된 ‘조선건축’을 중심으로 -
...many studies were related to thermal insulation and natural solar energy storage. Second, the research method was described in the form of an essay, and the results were obtained by formulas and calculations rather than experiments or simulations. Third, in relation to the floor plan of the residential building, there have been designs that reduced heat loss through insulation rather than the quality...
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[학술논문] Uncertain Prospects for Engagement with the DPRK
...negotiate seriously. But realistically, U.S. leverage to bring North Korea to the negotiating table is limited. Prospects for getting talks underway in 2022 will depend mainly on Kim Jong Un and on his calculations of whether negotiated sanctions relief is essential to alleviate the North’s economic predicament; whether he can count on continued support from China (including in evading sanctions); and...
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[학술논문] 북한 핵정책의 변동(2009-2017)
...Pyongyang more room to strategically maneuver between Washington and Beijing, but also exposes the North to a vulnerable situation in which it might be abandoned by both China and the US. Under such calculations, North Korea is making all-out efforts to complete its nuclear development before the US-China bipolarity is completely established. By declaring the completion of its nuclear arsenal in 2017, North...
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