[학술논문] Hedging Opportunities and Crises against Pyongyang’s Hereditary Succession: A Chinese Perspective
...supports Kim Jong-il’s succession plan. This support has been structured into its DPRK policy centered on the principles of crisis aversion, even though it realizes the high costs of this policy: huge economic aid to an unpredictable neighbor and the negative regional response. This status quo-based policy symbolizes not only Beijing’s lingering “buffer zone” mentality but also...
[학술논문] From Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao: The Evolution of China’s Policies toward the Korean Peninsula
...Xi Jinping and his government may approach Korea in the future. This paper finds that the leadership change in China from Jiang to Hu did not disrupt policy continuity. Changes under the new leadership were incremental, and even though the Chinese government’s approach toward Korea has become increasingly active, Hu Jintao and his associates made little significant progress in the Six-Party...
[학술논문] Prospects for Sino-American Policy Coordination toward North Korea
...past fluctuations in Chinese policy toward North Korea and Sino-U.S. cooperation,respectively, provide a data set that can be analyzed to understand in greater detail the relationship between instability on the Korean peninsula and prospects for policy cooperation between the United States and China. This article will analyze fluctuations in Sino-American cooperation over policy toward North Korea to...
[학술논문] 격동의 동아시아: 박근혜 정부 대외정책의 과제
...far from stable as a result of disputes over the Spratly Islands, Scarborough Shoal, and SLOC security. Given America’s re-balancing strategy in East Asia and Chinese power’s emerging dominance in the region, the foreign policy options of East Asian countries will be significantly driven by the U.S.-PRC competition for regional political and economic networks. By envisioning a common scheme...
[학술논문] Making Training More Effective for North Koreans by Separating Ideation from Capacity-Building
...often predicated on pre-existing political will for changes to policy to support economic development. Training programs can be improved through conscious deliberation of these two objectives,and by calibrating the emphasis on the objectives through program design. We examine the role ideation played in the Chinese reform process, when Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping visited Singapore, and extrapolate the...