[학술논문] The North Korean Nuclear Program: From a Conditional Bargaining Chip to the Ultima Ratio in Deterrence
...increasingly hardened. In this sense, North Korea essentially re-conceptualized its own nuclear weapons program as its ultima ratio for its policy and security needs. In the paper, I am using the term "ultima ratio" as an analytical tool and in order to frame Pyongyang's re-positioning of its nuclear weapons program, moving it out of the diplomatic context and placing it firmly in the military...
[학술논문] The Right Approach to Change North Korea: Consistent Pressure as Learned from Chicken Game Theory
...the unchanged zero-sum nature of South-North relations. He demanded that North Korea demonstrate its sincerity for the welfare of its people in return for the assistance and dismantle its nuclear weapons program. The US President, Barack Obama, also quickly realized the true nature of North Korea and joined in President Lee's policy. As a result, a glimpse of hope started to be seen until the...
[학술논문] Stalemate and Beyond: The North Korean Nuclear Impasse and Its Future
...– entirely uninterested in denuclearization, remaining committed to retaining its nuclear weapons programs under essentially any conditions, and having additionally now ensured by its own actions (e.g., its 2006 and 2009 weapons tests and public confirmation of its longstanding uranium enrichment program) that the verification requirements for denuclearization are ones that the DPRK regime would...
[학술논문] Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take?
...water reactor program in November 2010 offers another moment for engagement with Pyongyang, another point of leverage over how its nuclear weapons program evolves, and a new opportunity to determine whether it can be influenced to recommit to the global nuclear non proliferation and disarmament regime. We believe that it may be possible to slow and even reverse the DPRK’s nuclear breakout by collaboration...
[학술논문] Kim Jong-un Inherits the Bomb
North Korea’s nuclear program has a long history, which serves as a warning thatthe program is likely to have a long future. The Kim regime’s nuclear weapons program will be used by successor Kim Jong-un and his associates for their own benefit and not for the benefit of the North Korean people, and any negotiations relating to this program are likely to be slowed down by Pyongyang’s...