[학술논문] 북한의 체제변화에 대한 미래예측 연구 : 통일비용 수준을 고려한 Dynamic Modeling 예측기법을 중심으로
...dynamics technique for analysis how will system change of south and north Korea and unity expense effect affect stability of Unification of South and North Korea. In particular, considering a sudden regime collapse time and after that time as the unification time and after that time respectively we approach with a focus on change process of North's system. In order to achieve the purpose of this study...
[학술논문] South Korea’s Strategy for North Korean Contingency : Beyond Interventions of China and the United States
This article deals with the Republic of Korea(ROK)’s strategy to prepare for contingency in North Korea. What are Chinese and U.S. interests and strategies towards the Korean peninsula? What are their priorities of stabilization operation in North Korea if Kim Jong Il regime collapses? What is the ROK’s strategy to deal with the contingency and, ultimately, to achieve reunification? The
[학술논문] North Korea’s Survival Strategy and Security Challenges: Implications for the R.O.K.-U.S. Force
...by North Korea. The second security challenge, as it is linked to the infrequent, but, potentially, most significant threat is the North Korean “contingency”: that is, the possible sudden collapse of the Pyongyang regime. Of course, we should not discount the possibility of full-scale war that can be considered the most foremost security challenge to the R.O.K.-U.S. forces. Also, we still...
[학술논문] Europe and North Korea: Competing Security and Humanitarian Impulses
...security comprises five major issues: nuclear weapons and missiles; the proliferation of nuclear weapons and missiles off the Korean Peninsula; the use of force; scenarios for sudden change, destabilization or even collapse; and cyber security. These do not constitute the entire constellation of hard security threats posed by North Korea, but they do constitute the major ones, at least from Europe’s...
[학술논문] North Korea after Kim Jong-il
...the first chairman of the Defense Committee, the most powerful organ in North Korea. Thus, Kim Jong-un looked as if he finalized hereditary succession of three generations. After Kim Jong-il’s sudden death in December 2012, Kim Jong-un has been heavily dependent upon his families and the second and the third generation revolutionaries to stabilize his regime. He will follow the military-first politics...