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Is Kim Jong Un Preparing for War?

상세내역
게재일자 2024년 01월 11일
기관 38 North
저자 ROBERT L. CARLIN AND SIEGFRIED S. HECKER
키워드 #DOMESTIC AFFAIRS   #FOREIGN AFFAIRS   #MILITARY AFFAIRS   #AGREED FRAMEWORK   #제네바 합의   #억제
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상세내역
주요내용 The situation on the Korean Peninsula is more dangerous than it has been at any time since early June 1950. That may sound overly dramatic, but we believe that, like his grandfather in 1950, Kim Jong Un has made a strategic decision to go to war. We do not know when or how Kim plans to pull the trigger, but the danger is already far beyond the routine warnings in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo about Pyongyang’s “provocations.” In other words, we do not see the war preparation themes in North Korean media appearing since the beginning of last year as typical bluster from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK or North Korea).