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Refugees, Internal Displacement, and the Future of the Korean Peninsula

상세내역
게재일자 2017년 02월 02일
기관 CSIS
저자 Bridget Coggins
키워드 #CHINA   # INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
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상세내역
주요내용 Refugees, and the fate of civilians in general, are critical to planning in case of dramatic political instability in North Korea. Most concerning strategically is that civilians attempting to flee to China would prompt the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to intervene in North Korea, and could lead to further internationalization because the South and its allies would also intervene in response.1 Unfortunately, existing estimates of refugee flows are too vague to contribute to the careful contingency planning required.2 Still, we can arrive at better estimates of whether, when, and where North Koreans might seek refuge by examining civilian flight from current civil wars, and by customizing the projections with country-specific demographic, topographic, and infrastructural data.z
이전글, 다음글
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