[해외자료] Progress at Sohae Points to Larger Space Launch Vehicles in the Future

Ongoing development at the Sohae Satellite Launching Station seen in recent satellite imagery show continued preparations to expand the facility's capabilities to host larger rocket launches... Left: Close-up view of the launch pad area.

[해외자료] First Flight of North Korea’s “Chollima-1” SLV Fails, but More Launches and More New SLVs Are Likely

...Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The second and third stages appear to be optimized for space launch, with new engines and apparently differences in propellant. The cause of the failure is unknown, but South Korean authorities are working to recover the second and third stages, and perhaps even the payload, from the Yellow Sea, which would shed more light on their capabilities.

[해외자료] Subconventional Stability on the Korean Peninsula: Lessons From South Asia

...href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nkorea-passes-law-declaring-itself-nuclear-weapons-state-kcna-2022-09-08/"concernsabout the growing sophistication of South Korea’s missile capabilities, as these gradually improve the credibility of Seoul’s

[해외자료] Sinpho South Shipyard: New Submarine Makes Debut, but With Many Questions To Be Answered

Commercial satellite imagery of the Sinpho South Shipyard from September 6 captured the celebration activities both before and after the launching of North Korea’s new ballistic missile submarine (SSB). Imagery from the following day revealed puzzling activity as the study of the submarine’s capabilities continues.

[해외자료] Don’t Judge a Book by Its Cover: North Korea’s HS-18 Is Not a Russian ICBM

...expertclaimedthat North Korea’s new solid-propellant intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the Hwasong-18 (HS-18), actually is a Russian-supplied missile. The article also makes a series of claims about the capabilities and implications of the HS-18. Contrary to all of these assertions, however:

[학술논문] North Korea’s Aggressive Nuclear Posture and its Implications －Based on the alternative nuclear optimization theory－

...factors in determining a state’s nuclear posture and diplomacy. To draw conclusion, firstly, throughout theoretical debate and empirical evidences, how North Korea’s nuclear and missile capabilities have changed will be addressed based on the fact that the North will endeavor to be recognized as a de facto nuclear weapons state is leaving no stone unturned. For the research purpose, I adopted...

[학술논문] 발사된 탄도미사일 관측자료에 기반한 최대사거리 능력과 사격정보 추정에 관한 연구

...결의안을 무시하고 핵탄두와 탄도 미사일 개발에 주력해 왔다. 그러나 시험사격을 통해 개발 중인 북한 탄도 미사일 특성을 분석할 수 있는 추력 등에 관한 필수적인 정보는 수집이 제한되기 때문에 북한이 배치하려는 탄도 미사일 능력을 추정하는 데에는 여전히 많은 의문과 한계가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 발사된 미사일의 성능을 파악하기 위해 탄도 미사일의 초기속력과 최대사거리를 추정하는 간단한 계산 방법을 제안한다. 이 방법에 따르면 시험발사하는 탄도 미사일의 정점고도와 비행거리 데이터만을 사용해도 추진제 연소종료 시 형성되는 최대속력 및 발사 경사각과 최대사거리를 개략적으로 추정할 수 있다. 이 방법으로 개발 중인 북한 미사일 성능분석을 하기 위해 1993년부터 2022년까지 발사한 탄도 미사일에 대해 관측된 정점고도와 비행거리...

[학술논문] The Future of the U.S.-South Korean Alliance: Increasingly Off-Peninsula

...doctrine which lowered the threshold for its use of nuclear weapons. To address the growing nuclear, missile, and conventional force threat, South Korea, the U.S. and Japan resumed combined military exercises after a four-year hiatus to reverse the degradation in allied deterrence and defense capabilities. Those exercises and additional measures must continue in order to protect territory and people of...

[학술논문] The Growing DPRK Nuclear Threat and the U.S.-ROK Response

...its Northeast Asian allies. This paper discusses progress North Korea has made in advancing its nuclear and missile capabilities, examines the shift in DPRK nuclear strategy that these advances have permitted and signaled, addresses key dangers posed by the DPRK’s nuclear and missile programs and the shift in its nuclear strategy, and outlines possible U.S.-ROK responses to the growing North...

[현안분석] Revisiting North Korea’s “Two Hostile States” Doctrine: Based on the Kim Il Sung Text

...itself over the decades. Recent years have seen the Kim regime use these historical texts primarily to justify its offensive foreign policy maneuvers, such as the advancement of its nuclear and missile capabilities. Viewed in this light, it would be meaningful to reinterpret the “Two Hostile States” doctrine based on the broader pattern of North Korea’s foreign policy shifts...