[해외자료] Progress at Sohae Points to Larger Space Launch Vehicles in the Future

Ongoing development at the Sohae Satellite Launching Station seen in recent satellite imagery show continued preparations to expand the facility's capabilities to host larger rocket launches... Left: Close-up view of the launch pad area.

[해외자료] First Flight of North Korea’s “Chollima-1” SLV Fails, but More Launches and More New SLVs Are Likely

...Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The second and third stages appear to be optimized for space launch, with new engines and apparently differences in propellant. The cause of the failure is unknown, but South Korean authorities are working to recover the second and third stages, and perhaps even the payload, from the Yellow Sea, which would shed more light on their capabilities.

[해외자료] Subconventional Stability on the Korean Peninsula: Lessons From South Asia

...href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nkorea-passes-law-declaring-itself-nuclear-weapons-state-kcna-2022-09-08/"concernsabout the growing sophistication of South Korea’s missile capabilities, as these gradually improve the credibility of Seoul’s

[해외자료] Sinpho South Shipyard: New Submarine Makes Debut, but With Many Questions To Be Answered

Commercial satellite imagery of the Sinpho South Shipyard from September 6 captured the celebration activities both before and after the launching of North Korea’s new ballistic missile submarine (SSB). Imagery from the following day revealed puzzling activity as the study of the submarine’s capabilities continues.

[해외자료] Don’t Judge a Book by Its Cover: North Korea’s HS-18 Is Not a Russian ICBM

...expertclaimedthat North Korea’s new solid-propellant intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the Hwasong-18 (HS-18), actually is a Russian-supplied missile. The article also makes a series of claims about the capabilities and implications of the HS-18. Contrary to all of these assertions, however:

[현안분석] 2021년 김정은 연설 분석과 전망 및 정책 고려사항

...strategy of hard-line and conciliatory measures. In other words, it would be desirable for us to maintain the principle of not overlooking North Korea's provocations through strong defense capabilities and a strong alliance with the U.S. and to use a humanitarian approach, such as supporting the North with the Covid-19 vaccine. In conclusion, it is necessary to present a vision and blueprint for...

[현안분석] 북한 핵전략 변화의 쟁점과 과제: 파키스탄의 전범위억제와 비교

...challenge of securing second-strike capabilities through the development of intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities. Byattempting to resolve the instability caused by the gap between nuclear capabilities anddoctrine, North Korea is likely to undermine stability in Northeast Asia. In order to reduceNorth Korea's provocative missile launches, it is necessary to prepare...

[현안분석] 김정은 시기 북한의 우주 능력 평가 및 시사점

...두고 있다. 북한이 다량의 정찰위성 배치 계획을 밝힌 만큼 국가 역량 동원을 가속화할 전망이다. 북한 위성 능력의 향상은 핵능력 고도화와 결합하여 한미동맹에 중요한 군사적 위협으로 부각될 소지가 있다. 탄도 미사일 기술을 활용한 북한의 우주활동은 보편적 규범 기반 국제질서에 대한 위협이므로 국제사회와의 협력을 바탕으로 강력히 대응해야 한다. This study seeks to evaluate threats to North Korea’s space capabilities and space assets during the Kim Jong-un era and draw implications. North Korea has secured various launch vehicle technologies...

[현안분석] 북한의 관광 활성화 정책 재추진 전망과 파급영향

...increase in the mid to long term. It is feared that the increased foreign currency income will not only be used as Kim Jong-un's ruling fund, but also be diverted to strengthening nuclear and missile capabilities. As the number of foreign tourists increases, there is a high possibility that COVID-19 will spread again in North Korea. There are also concerns that foreign tourists may be detained or punished...

[현안분석] 제3차 핵시대의 핵전략: 한국의 국방 패러다임 전환을 위한 시론적 검토

...connectivity as the distinctive attributes of the Third Nuclear Age. Additionally, six core technologies are identified, including delivery systems, targeting, nuclear command and control, missile defense, space-cyber capabilities, and AI-based decision-making. These characteristics necessitate a reconfiguration of existing nuclear strategic concepts, shifting from deterrence stability to crisis stability,...