[해외자료] Progress at Sohae Points to Larger Space Launch Vehicles in the Future

Ongoing development at the Sohae Satellite Launching Station seen in recent satellite imagery show continued preparations to expand the facility's capabilities to host larger rocket launches... Left: Close-up view of the launch pad area.

[해외자료] First Flight of North Korea’s “Chollima-1” SLV Fails, but More Launches and More New SLVs Are Likely

...Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The second and third stages appear to be optimized for space launch, with new engines and apparently differences in propellant. The cause of the failure is unknown, but South Korean authorities are working to recover the second and third stages, and perhaps even the payload, from the Yellow Sea, which would shed more light on their capabilities.

[해외자료] Subconventional Stability on the Korean Peninsula: Lessons From South Asia

...href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nkorea-passes-law-declaring-itself-nuclear-weapons-state-kcna-2022-09-08/"concernsabout the growing sophistication of South Korea’s missile capabilities, as these gradually improve the credibility of Seoul’s

[해외자료] Sinpho South Shipyard: New Submarine Makes Debut, but With Many Questions To Be Answered

Commercial satellite imagery of the Sinpho South Shipyard from September 6 captured the celebration activities both before and after the launching of North Korea’s new ballistic missile submarine (SSB). Imagery from the following day revealed puzzling activity as the study of the submarine’s capabilities continues.

[해외자료] Don’t Judge a Book by Its Cover: North Korea’s HS-18 Is Not a Russian ICBM

...expertclaimedthat North Korea’s new solid-propellant intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), the Hwasong-18 (HS-18), actually is a Russian-supplied missile. The article also makes a series of claims about the capabilities and implications of the HS-18. Contrary to all of these assertions, however:

[현안분석] 제3차 핵시대의 핵전략: 한국의 국방 패러다임 전환을 위한 시론적 검토

...connectivity as the distinctive attributes of the Third Nuclear Age. Additionally, six core technologies are identified, including delivery systems, targeting, nuclear command and control, missile defense, space-cyber capabilities, and AI-based decision-making. These characteristics necessitate a reconfiguration of existing nuclear strategic concepts, shifting from deterrence stability to crisis stability,...

[현안분석] 8차 당대회 이후 북한 핵전략의 변화 가능성: 최소억제에서 공세적 핵전략으로의 전환 여부

...하나로 국방력 강화를 제시하였다. 김정은 위원장이 사업총화보고에서 이례적으로 첨단무기 개발현황을 공개하는 한편 핵무력 강화 방침을 재확인하자 북한의 핵전략 역시 최소억제에서 보다 공세적인 핵전략으로 변화할 가능성이 제기되었다. 북한이 2006년 핵실험 성공 이후 꾸준히 핵물질의 생산을 이어오고 있다는 점, 투발수단 또한 단중장거리 미사일로 다양화되고 지상기반 미사일뿐만 아니라 해상기반 미사일까지 확장되고 있다는 점 등은 북한이 보다 공세적인 핵전략을 추구할 것이라는 주장에 힘을 실어주고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 핵능력의 증강이 그대로 공격적 핵태세로 반영될 것인지는 신중하게 지켜보아야 할 필요가 있다. 북한의 핵전략은 북한을 둘러싼 안보환경을 포괄적으로 이해한 후 변화 방향을 예측하는 것이 바람직하다. 지금도 김정은은...

[현안분석] 김정은 시대 과학기술정책 주요 내용과 평가

...reform by inheriting the policiesof its predecessors. Even in the era of Kim Jong-un, when unprecedented internationalsanctions and isolation deepened due to the advancement of nuclear capabilities and thedevelopment of intercontinental ballistic missiles, North Korea aimed to build a science andtechnology power and a self-reliant economy. North Korea focused on developing...

[학위논문] 김정은 시대 북한의 ‘핵 강압외교’에 관한 연구

...the 5th and 6th nuclear tests, their nuclear capabilities were strengthened to show off their achievements and strengthen their system solidarity. Second, the 'Strong to Strong' diplomatic relations with the United States were promoted. It has advanced its nuclear power by confronting U.S.-led sanctions against North Korea with nuclear and missile tests. Third, 'total internal balance'...

[현안분석] Extended Deterrent Effect of China and Its Implications on the U.S.-N. Korean Nuclear Negotiation

...its alliance credibility, China is unlikely to facilitate N. Korea to undergo complete denuclearization, even more clarifying N. Korea’s motivation to develop nuclear weapons and missile capabilities as a deterrent purpose for national security. Accordingly, the U.S. can find itself a primary determinant for the successful nuclear bargain with N. Korea, at least not in conclusive support...