[학위논문] 김정은 정권의 핵정책 분석, 2011~2021 -북한 지배연합의 선택과 관계국의 대응을 중심으로

...the United States. However, North Korea-the U.S. talks did not unfold according to Kim’s wishes. This paper finds that the breakdown was primarily driven by mutual distrust over intentions and capabilities, doubts about agreement implementation, and domestic opposition to compromise. Kim and Trump had differing views on denuclearization and how to achieve it. Unable to ignore opposing public opinion...

[학술논문] A Study on the Need to Actively Expand the ROK-U.S. Alliance to the Indo-Pacific Region and the Need to Upgrade the Jeju Naval Base as a Missile Defense Base: Focusing on the development of Regional I

...its naval base on Jeju Island as a missile defense system amid the expansion of the Korea-U.S. alliance. Jeju Island can significantly reduce accidental clashes and checks, as its naval base has already been built and is geographically far from China. It is safe to choose an area as far as possible away from China if Korea needs to build and upgrade its missile defense bases. This is both a way to...

[학위논문] Trilateral Security Model in The ROK’s Engagement with ASEAN

...economic growth, and external strengthening through alliances. However, alliances are not constant. It can evolve due to three main factors: shifts in threat perceptions, changes in the national capabilities of weaker partners, and a decrease in the dominant power's credibility. While alliances remain vital for security in the face of ongoing threats, shifts in national power and doubts about the credibility...

[학술논문] Can—Should—Must We Negotiate with Evil?

...nuclear and missile capabilities. President George W. Bush placed North Korea on an “axis of evil.” He loathed a leader who permitted more than a million of his subject to starve. But even if this repugnance was justified, did it serve U.S. and allied interests to end the dialogues that, in the Clinton years, offered hope of limiting and perhaps terminating the North’s nuclear weapons and missile programs...

[학술논문] Time to Balance Deterrence, Offense, and Defense? Rethinking South Korea’s Strategy against the North Korean Nuclear Threat

...defensive capabilities, which are three general types of preparedness for ordinary nations. Seoul should specifically strengthen its capabilities to retaliate against the North Korean leadership. It should also develop a plan to neutralize North Korean nuclear weapons in case of either an imminent or actual North Korean nuclear offense. It is about time for South Korea to build missile defense in...

[해외] Cluster Warhead Tests Underscore the Important Conventional Role of North Korea’s SRBMs

... force, which performs many of the key missions traditionally taken on by air forces. The launches also follow through on the mandate of the February 2026 Ninth Party Congress to reinforce SRBM deployments against South Korea. Finally, the North probably wanted to capitalize on the substantial press attention given to Iran’s recent use of submunition warheads to trumpet its similar capabilities.

[해외] North Korea Tests New Theater Launch Platforms as Party Congress Continues Nuclear/Missile Buildup

...Congress, 11 nuclear-capable land-attack cruise missiles (LACMs) were launched over two days in March from the North’s first new destroyer-type warship, now undergoing sea trials. In addition to meeting Pyongyang’s nuclear expansion goals, further KN-25 and LACM deployments bolster conventional strike capabilities against South Korea that the Congress report said needed to be “greatly increased.”

[해외] Eight Lessons for North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Forces From the Ongoing Iran Conflict

...leadership and road-mobile missile vulnerabilities, and the effectiveness of US and allied air operations and missile defenses. It also strongly underscores the need for the North to have larger conventional missile stockpiles and to bolster its drone and counter-drone capabilities. Pyongyang should be able to address the eight lessons outlined below using programs and capabilities already underway, but...

[해외] Assessing North Korea’s Five-Year Effort to Develop 13 New Nuclear and Missile Systems

...missiles (ICBMs), tactical nuclear weapons, and land-attack cruise missiles (LACMs)—all probably deployed since January 2021—have made the most important contributions to North Korea’s military capabilities. Of the other systems, multiple-warhead strategic missiles would offer the greatest potential to increase the North’s nuclear strike capability. Most of the remaining systems in Kim’s report would...

[해외] The Iran war risks triggering a new wave of nuclear proliferation

...support for developing domestic nuclear capabilities, as the lessons of the Cold War and the devastating consequences of nuclear weapons fade from living memory. This comes amid rising doubts over Washington’s ability to uphold its extended deterrence and security commitments to allies. In particular, the US’s reported redeployment of part of its THAAD missile defence systems from South Korea to the...