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[학술논문] Hedging Opportunities and Crises against Pyongyang’s Hereditary Succession: A Chinese Perspective
... setting pre-determined plans to preempt any precarious situation on the peninsula and cooperating with regional countries regarding sudden developments in Pyongyang. At the same time it would hedge against the possibility of a war for regime change on the ground. Beijing’s general view of the prospects for the succession is relatively optimistic, since Kim Jong-il is making detailed plans for...
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[학위논문] 북한의 시공간 경제 분석 : 개발정책, 지역 불균형 및 시장
...areas. Furthermore, the disparity between Pyongyang and non-Pyongyang regions accounted for a higher proportion of overall inequality compared to the gap between the Seoul metropolitan area and non-metropolitan areas in South Korea. This suggests that North Korea’s capital region policy should adopt a broader approach that includes not only Pyongyang but also Nampo and South Pyongan Province...
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[학술논문] Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take?
...pilot light water reactor program in November 2010 offers another moment for engagement with Pyongyang, another point of leverage over how its nuclear weapons program evolves, and a new opportunity to determine whether it can be influenced to recommit to the global nuclear non proliferation and disarmament regime. We believe that it may be possible to slow and even reverse the DPRK’s nuclear breakout...
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[학술논문] Moscow Ponders Korea Unification
...new form of government in North Korea. Russian officials seek to change Pyongyang’s behavior, not its regime. Korean unification could result in humanitarian emergencies, economic reconstruction burdens, arms races, loose nukes, and military clashes. Russians favor a “soft landing” for the North Korean regime—a gradual mellowing of its domestic and especially foreign policies...
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[학술논문] North Korea’s Survival Strategy and Security Challenges: Implications for the R.O.K.-U.S. Force
The Pyongyang regime’s survival strategy is intertwined with security challenges that the Republic of Korea and the United States (the R.O.K.-U.S.) military forces should overcome because the likelihood of the regime’s survival is, directly or indirectly, linked to changing and dynamic security interactions between North Korea and R.O.K.-U.S. alliance. The first security challenge, as it...
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