[학술논문] Barak Obama and North Korea: A Study in Presidential Transition
This study will examine the policy of the incoming administration of Barak Obama toward North Korea’s nuclear program as a case-study in presidential transitions. Obama did not give much prominence to North Korea during the campaign, but he clearly framed the talks on the DPRK nuclear question in the broader contexts of promoting international law, strengthening the nuclear nonproliferation regime...
[학술논문] The Right Approach to Change North Korea: Consistent Pressure as Learned from Chicken Game Theory
... South Korean President, Lee Myung-bak, came to realize the unchanged zero-sum nature of South-North relations. He demanded that North Korea demonstrate its sincerity for the welfare of its people in return for the assistance and dismantle its nuclear weapons program. The US President, Barack Obama, also quickly realized the true nature of North Korea and joined in President Lee's policy. As a result...
[학술논문] From Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao: The Evolution of China’s Policies toward the Korean Peninsula
... policy continuity. Changes under the new leadership were incremental, and even though the Chinese government’s approach toward Korea has become increasingly active, Hu Jintao and his associates made little significant progress in the Six-Party Talks. Hu’s lackluster achievements reveal that China has not been able to play a defining role in addressing North Korea’s nuclear program, forging a permanent...
[학술논문] Russian Influence on North Korea: Views of Former South Korean Ambassadors to Russia
...and North Korea have a historical relationship dating back to the beginning of the Pyongyang regime. The former Soviet Union had participated in the Korean War and its Air Force supported the communist forces on the ground. Moscow was the major donor in the reconstruction of postwar North Korea. The North Korean nuclear program had been initiated with Soviet equipment and training of nuclear scientists...
[학술논문] North Korea’s Nuclear Decision-making and Plausible Scenarios
...use nuclear weapons for military purposes, and to other ends, if necessary. This recent development leads us to ask: Will North Korea indeed use its nuclear weapons? If so, in what circumstances, to what ends, and in what ways will North Korea launch its nuclear weapons? To explore the answers to these questions, this study makes use of the situational deterrence model, based on a survey of the literature...