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[학술논문] War Games: North Korea's Reaction to US and South Korea Military Exercises

Since 1976, the militaries of the United States and South Korea have been holding routine joint military exercises (JMEs) for the purposes of military training and deterrence against North Korea. These exercises are frequently cited as a cause of tension on the peninsula, causing North Korea to escalate its conflictual rhetoric and behavior. I empirically assess this claim using new data on US-ROK

#joint military exercise #conflict #deterrence #escalation #event data #North Korea #Vito D'Orazio
[학술논문] Planning for North Korean Collapse: Military Missions and Requirements

...mismanaging this effort. Coordinated planning, particularly between the United States, the Republic of Korea (ROK), and China, is essential to avoid massive loss of life among North Koreans and dangerous escalation between countries that might step in to stabilize the country after collapse. Government collapse in Pyongyang could create anarchy or a vacuum in which several serious problems might develop on...

#North Korea #South Korea #Government Collapse #Missions #Requirements #Stabilizing #Multilateral Planning #제니퍼 린드
[학술논문] The Reinforcement of Military Capability and Its Effects in Asia

...money into military sector year by year, meanwhile North Korea went to build nuclear capability economically. Each country’s effect to modernize its military capability has made up security escalation, which would cause security dilemma in return. The main thing of these changes is, first of all, the possibility of the confrontation between the U.S. and China. We can say that the pivot of bipolar...

#military reinforcement #arms race #Asian region #China and the United States #military capability #military expenditure #이정우 #조윤영
[학술논문] Myth and Reality in Trust-Building in the Korean Peninsula

...modern “way of war” –which is heavily dependent on using airstrikes to rapidly destroy enemy leadership sites, degrade enemy command and control, and deny enemy situational awareness –ould greatly increase the likelihoodof North Korean nuclear escalation. The paper concludes with a discussion of important policy and force structure implications for U.S. and South Korean leaders.

#Keir A. Lieber
[학술논문] How to Respond to North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons

...States and South Korea, North Korea will face strong incentives to use nuclear weapons. Like other weak states facing dire consequences during a conventional conflict North Korea would see nuclear escalation as a key option for stalemating its militarily superior foes. This paper explores the likely role of North Korea’s nuclear weapons in Pyongyang's military strategy during a conventional...

#Daryl G. Press

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