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The Nexus between Diplomacy and Nuclear Science : The technical signatures of the uranium enrichment program and their implications for North Korean denuclearization

The Nexus between Diplomacy and Nuclear Science : The technical signatures of the uranium enrichment program and their implications for North Korean denuclearization

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저자 양희용
소속 및 직함 육군사관학교
발행기관 통일평화연구원
학술지 통일과 평화
권호사항 10(436)
수록페이지 범위 및 쪽수 397-436
발행 시기 2018년
키워드 #North Korea   #Pakistan   #Denuclearization   #Uranium enrichment technology   #Centrifuges   #Verification   #양희용
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초록
The complete denuclearization of North Korea is mainly a diplomatic task, but at the same time geo-strategic and technical one, which calls for an interdisciplinary approach. By exploring the technical signatures of the uranium enrichment program, this article argues that diplomatic solutions alone may not deliver the goal of “final, fully-verified denuclearization.” The proliferation-prone and detection-resistant nature of centrifuge technology allowed Pyongyang secretly to build and operate modern enrichment facilities despite Washington’s supply-side efforts to combat proliferation. Also, the failure of the 1976 Symington Amendment, invoked to dissuade Islamabad from acquiring uranium bombs, attests to the fact that a demand-side approach may not work either against a fragile regime determined to “east grass” in order to be a nuclear power. Unless the technical challenges are adequately addressed, North Korea’s clandestine enrichment program, coupled with deep distrust, will complicate and even derail the whole process of denuclearization from negotiations to verifications.
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