[정치/군사] 2025년 북핵 쟁점: 군축·군비 통제 담론 대응 중심으로

...확보와 경제난 타개를 위해 미국과의 관계 정립이 도움이 될 수 있다는 점을 잘 알고 있다. 미국은 북한이 워싱턴과 뉴욕에 대한 핵 타격 위협을 높이는 것을 언제까지 지켜만 볼 수 없는 처지이다. 양측의 이러한 동기는 언제인지는 알 수 없으나 대화와 타협이 발생할 수도 있음을 의미한다. 특히 최근 미국 일부 관계자들이 핵 군비통제(nuclear arms control) 접근 모색, 중간단계(interim step)로서의 협상 필요, 대북 제재와 미 본토 핵 위협의 교환 가능성을 언급함으로써, 2025년 이후 새로운 미 행정부의 대북 정책의 변화가 주목받고 있다. 미국 내부의 이러한 대안적 주장들은 그간 북핵을 대화로 해결하고자 하는 한국과 미국을 비롯한 국제사회의 기본 입장과 배치되지 않는다. 하지만 자칫 북한과의...

[학술논문] The Possibilities and Limitations of North-South Korean Arms Control and Future Action Plans

...complete reconciliation and cooperation based on mutual trust and confidence between them. North Korean arms control proposals mainly deal with troop reduction measures, whereas South Korean proposals deal with political and military confidencebuilding, operational arms control and structural arms control measures in gradual and phased manner. North Korean proposals were political propaganda to withdraw...

[학술논문] 남북한 군사적 신뢰구축방안 모색:국제적 사례와 역사적 교훈을 중심으로

...as a constant reminder of the wretchedness of modern Korean history. and yet, the Demilitarized Zone(DMZ), the border area that cuts across the center of the Korean Peninsula continues to bear the arms of confrontation under faded ideological flags. The purpose of this paper is groping the inter-Korean confidence building measures forward to coming days. The political atmosphere of the present Korean...

[학술논문] Can—Should—Must We Negotiate with Evil?

...priorities and frames of reference. Thus, two Soviet citizens, each a Nobel Prize winner, disagreed on whether Western governments should treat the Kremlin as a viable partner in negotiations to control the arms race. . Alexander I. Solzhenitsyn said “yes,” because a regime that oppressed its own people could not be trusted. But Andrei D. Sakharov answered “no,” because the stakes for humanity were so...

[학술논문] Sino-American Relations and the Unification of the Korean Peninsula

...capability vis-à-vis American capability and utilize the concept of strategic pragmatism. Korea’s options include positive peaceful coexistence, deepened inter-Korean cooperation based on the wotrack strategy, peninsular arms control along with the institutionalization of Northeast Asian multilateral security cooperation, a modernized Korea-U.S. alliance, and upgraded cooperative relations with China.

[학술논문] A Strategic Cooperation between the ROK and the US under the New Operational Cooperation Design

...economic stability in South Korea and even Northeast Asia as a whole. The transfer of wartime operational control has, however, faced severe opposition from conservative groups who claim that it may make the ROK security situation more un-stable by weakening the ROK-US alliance and by provoking an arms race amongst neighboring states. In addition, it could, they argue, cause an economic crisis due to the...

[해외] The Trouble With Permanent Alliances

...defense obligations reflect present conditions and future threats rather than a Cold War dynamic. Washington need not come up with new paradigms to do this. Historical alliances as well as existing arms control agreements and nontreaty security partnerships can provide blueprints for alliances that are fit for purpose. Although existing U.S. allies may fear such a move, they shouldn’t. Restructuring U...

[해외] How to Avoid an Accidental Nuclear War with North Korea

What Kim Jong Un says at the current Ninth Party Congress meeting will reveal whether there is an opening for nuclear negotiations with the Trump administration. Despite President Trump's repeated offers to meet with North Korea's leader Chairman Kim Jong Un during his recent trip to Asia, there was no response. Kim's appearance with Xi Jingpin and Vladimir Putin at China's recent military parade commemorating

[해외] The Iran war risks triggering a new wave of nuclear proliferation

The US-Israeli war with Iran is taking place as the global non-proliferation regime is already under significant strain. New START, the last bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between the US and Russia, expired in February with nothing to replace it. China is currently expanding and modernizing its nuclear arsenal. France has announced an expansion of its nuclear programme and closer cooperation...

[국내] 트럼프 정부의 핵 현대화 정책 전망과 한반도 시사점

...projected to persist. This continuation is anticipated given the deteriorating global security landscape, marked by persistent regional conflicts, an intensifying arms race with major powers, and the current absence of robust arms control negotiations. Furthermore, a second Trump term might emphasize increased strategic flexibility to effectively counter multifaceted adversary threats, thereby further...

[국내] 북한의 전술핵무기 개발과 안보적 함의

...the unstable strategic environment, including developing the ambition of South Korea to redeploy tactical nuclear weapons from the U.S. and triggering an arms race in East Asia. In addition, if Pyongyang switches to a delegative command and control system for rapid use of tactical nuclear weapons, the risk of accidents will increase, and there is a risk of theft or miuse in terms of weapons management...