[학술논문] 동아시아 외교안보 현황과 한일협력

... long policy of <em>“</em>hiding one<em>’</em><em>s</em> capabilities and bidding time<em>”</em>(韜光養晦) and has begun to project its power beyond its shores with a more assertive policy that could be described as <em>“</em>undertaking necessary measures<em>”</em> or (有所作爲). The <em>rise</em> of <em>China</em> could shape a new complex balance of power system in East Asia. Since the end of the Cold War in the early 1990<em>s</em> following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the...

[학술논문] <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> <em>Military</em> <em>Rise</em> and Its Implications for Regional and Peninsular Security

...theater-level force. The PLA Navy<em>’</em><em>s</em> emphasis on <em>“</em>anti-access strategy<em>”</em> and the likely development of ASBM capability as well as its ongoing debate over the procurement of additional submarine force and/or a new aircraft carrier project all point to its twin goals of preparing for a Taiwan contingency and of building a truly regional navy. While <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> <em>“</em><em>military</em> <em>rise</em><em>”</em> is of an indirect and longer-term...

[학술논문] 2050년의 동아시아: 낙관적 비전과 넘어야 할 과제

...advanced economies with thriving democracies and by 2050<em>—</em>the 100th anniversary of the founding of the PRC<em>—</em>it will become increasingly difficult for <em>China</em> not to embrace universal values. Clearly, mistrust still persists not only in terms of perceiving <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> <em>rise</em> and the potential threat it could pose to the regional balance of power. For its part, <em>China</em> continues to support North Korea as a buffer against...

[학술논문] Pyongyang and the World: North Korean Perspectives on International Relations under Kim Jong Il

...of Pyongyang<em>’</em><em>s</em> perception of Northeast Asian politics is the dichotomy between the land powers and sea powers. The North identifies itself as a land power along with <em>China</em> and Russia. South Korea belongs to the group of sea powers, siding with Japan and the United States. It is difficult to anticipate a dramatic rewriting of Pyonyang<em>’</em><em>s</em> IR theory under the current leadership. For the <em>rise</em> of a new theory...

[학술논문] <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> Anti-Access Strategy and Regional Contingencies: Implications for East Asian and Korean Security

...areas. In assessing <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> current and likely future <em>military</em> capabilities as well as their implications for the region, it is necessary to take note of the following:<em>•</em> It is very important not to <em>“</em>overestimate<em>”</em> or <em>“</em>underestimate<em>”</em> <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> actual <em>military</em> capability, as war is most likely when <em>China</em> overestimates and others underestimate the PLA<em>’</em><em>s</em> capability. <em>•</em> <em>China</em><em>’</em><em>s</em> <em>military</em> not only employs mixed...