[학술논문] Hedging Opportunities and Crises against Pyongyang’s Hereditary Succession: A Chinese Perspective
Beijing passively supports Kim Jong-il’s succession plan. This support has been structured into its DPRK policy centered on the principles of crisis aversion, even though it realizes the high costs of this policy: huge economic aid to an unpredictable neighbor and the negative regional response. This status quo-based policy symbolizes not only Beijing’s lingering “buffer zone”...
[학술논문] [Special Issue] The DPRK Power Sector: Data & Interconnection Options
...cooperation between the two Koreas, has stopped. Nevertheless, a basic plan to solve the DPRK energy crisis should be continuously discussed and established by the ROK, considering the total potential costs of reunification and the peace and stability of the Korean peninsula. Therefore this report also considers possible changes in inter-Korean relations as a result of electric power system interactions...
[학술논문] 남북러 가스관의 경제적 효과에 관한 연구: 한국의 경우
...passage charges; and assumes diversion of all gas imported for city gas use. Using the model, an import of 7.5 million tons of natural gas from Russia at $400/TCM results in a 22% reduction in heating costs per every gas-using household, while an import price of $300/TCM would lead to a reduction of 31.9%. However, assuming mistakes are made during the negotiation and a subsequent purchase price of $600/TCM...
[학술논문] 통일 당위성과 통일편익의 법적기반 조성을 위한 조세 및 토지정책 연구
...cost varies from 50 billion dollars to 5 trillion dollars depending on people who estimates the cost. If we think about the fact that construction of 1 bridge of Han River costs about 1 billion dollars, then total unification costs will be close to 5 trillion dollars. If we understand that total income of North Korea has to be raised up to 2/3 of South Korea income, and that population is half of South...
[학술논문] Power Transition Theory and the U.S. Decisions in Favor of Preventive War: A Linkage between Theory and Practice
...other major and strong middle powers like China and North Korea. However, the U.S. launched preventive wars against weak middle and small powers such as Iraq and Grenada largely because the expected costs of wars in these conflicts were very low. In order to verify these arguments, this paper presents the modified version of the hypotheses of power transition theory and identifies intervening variables...