[학술논문] Lessons from Russia's Nuclear Forward‐Deployment to Belarus for the USA and South Korea

...Belarus's request, Russia deployed its nuclear weapons to Belarus within one or two years, whereas the USA has not even engaged in discussions on a similar option for South Korea, which has faced an existential nuclear threat from North Korea. This article seeks to extract key insights from Belarus's experience and propose corresponding policy implications for the US–South Korea alliance. In particular...

[학술논문] Beyond the Nuclear Umbrella: Re-thinking the Theory and Practice of Nuclear Extended Deterrence in East Asia and the Pacific

... deterrence), and of three conceivable generic alternatives to reliance upon nuclear extended deterrence: namely nuclear rejection, nuclear recession, and conventional deterrence (possibly combined with existential deterrence). A bilateral nuclear weapon free zone, with the door held open to North Korea to join at a later stage, would act as a circuit-breaker in the stalemated nuclear confrontation;...

[학술논문] The Future of the U.S.-South Korean Alliance: Increasingly Off-Peninsula

Despite decades of international efforts using all manner of diplomatic, economic, and pressure tools, North Korea remains an existential threat to South Korea and a security challenge to the alliance. Indeed, Pyongyang has stepped up its efforts in recent years to augment and improve its nuclear and missile threats against South Korea, Japan, and the United States. Through missile launches and parades...

[국내] 한국의 핵무장론과 비대칭동맹의 딜레마:연루와 방기의 비등가성

...abandonment poses an existential threat to the weaker ally, entrapment constitutes a manageable political burden for the stronger power. This paper argues that the inequivalence between these two alliance risks is a key driver behind the growing domestic support for nuclear armament in South Korea. Despite over 70 years of alliance history marked by U.S. extended deterrence commitments and institutional...

[국내] Emerging strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific and the impact on the nuclear nonproliferation regime

...pose an existential threat to South Korea, and South Koreans consistently support the development of an independent South Korean nuclear weapons capability, over the deployment of US nuclear weapons. ‣ Neither of these options are likely to happen in practice. The most realistic option for South Korea is to strengthen US extended deterrence while strengthening South Korea’s own deterrence capability...