[해외자료] Summit Silver Lining: Absence of North Korean Provocations Continue

There has been much criticism of President Trump’s impulsive actions and the unconventionality of the Singapore Summit. However, absent a complete breakdown of the encounter between the leaders, the summit is likely to produce a negotiation process between the United States and North Korea that will implement the mandates laid out by the leaders on denuclearization, security assurances, and a

[해외자료] DENUCLEARIZING NORTH KOREA: SIX OPTIONS FOR BIDEN

...certain that North Korea will carry out some type of military provocation soon after Joe Biden steps into the Oval Office next month. Less than three months after President Barack Obama took office, North Korea launched a long-range rocket, and six weeks after that conducted a nuclear test. North Korea launched a medium-range ballistic missile in February 2017, three weeks after President Donald Trump’s...

[해외자료] Sinpo South Shipyard Update: Minor Activity

...csis.org/sinpo-south-shipyard-update-no-signs-of-imminent- provocation/"report, there are no visible indications of preparations for further “pop-up” testing of a submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBM) using either the pop-up test stand or submersible test stand barge or the launch of the much anticipated first true ballistic missile submarine (SSB).

[학위논문] 북한 도발 시 대통령 대응과 여론

...influence the leader's choice of the subsequent response. Specifically, the types of North Korean provocations - whether it is local provocations or nuclear/ missile provocations - and the leader's approval rate during the provocation - whether it is high or low - becomes an important variable in determining whether a leader follows the general public opinion or the opinion of a small group of...

[현안분석] A study on North Korea's Hypersonic Missile Development: Threat Analysis and Suggestions for the South Korean Military

...threat of North Korea's first Hwasung -8 hypersonic missile development test in 2021 and the launch of a hypersonic missile test that continues in January 2022. Through a study on the current status, purpose, and capability of North Korea's hypersonic missile development, the status and threats of North Korea's hypersonic missile development were evaluated, and the countermeasures of the...

[학술논문] Enhancing Allied Deterrence against North Korea’s Nuclear Growing Arsenal

North Korea’s nuclear, missile, and conventional forces are a formidable threat to the United States and its allies in northeast Asia. Pyongyang’s history of provocation and intimidation is a consistent indicator of the regime’s intent to achieve its political objectives through the threat of execution of force. Greater North Korean nuclear capabilities could undermine the effectiveness...

[학위논문] 북 김정은 체제의 핵외교 행태 연구 : 핵능력 변천과 대외정책의 상관관계를 중심으로

...announced its possession of nuclear weapons, it used 'aggression or provocation' such as nuclear tests as a strategy to negotiate and catalyze related countries-U.S., China and South Korea- in order to gain its economic interests. In 2010-2015, however, North Korea focused on various nuclear and missile tests to complete nuclearization, mainly using hard-line policies...

[학위논문] 북한의 대남혁명전략에 관한 연구 : 신제도주의적 분석을 중심으로

...modified and elaborated, showing a phenomenon of path dependence. Type of change has been focused on ‘stratification.’ North Korea has utilized the parallel approach of ‘dialogue and provocation.’ Likewise, the third phase components have displayed similar consolidation of path dependence with ‘stratification’ type of change. This period is highlighted by North Korea’s...