[교육지원] [2018 통일나눔펀드 지원사업] Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

...project The target of the Beyond Parallel project is the international public, especially experts, opinion leaders, policymakers, stakeholders, academics, and the public in the United States. By engaging this target audience, Beyond Parallel advances its primary objective to prepare the international public for Korean unification through academic research with new evidence, analytic...

[해외자료] Punggye-ri Update: No Indications of Test Preparations

...Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Facility acquired during the past two months shows no significant changes to the area immediately outside the portal to Tunnel No. 3 (also known as the South Portal). This lack of any significant new external developments is not unexpected as both the United States and South Korea have long assessed North Korea finished all preparations for conducting its seventh nuclear test.

[해외자료] Punggye-ri Update: Flood Mitigation

...le-use-tactical-nukes-us-envoy-2022-06-07/"the United StatesandSouth Koreahave assessed that North Korea has completed all preparations for conducting a nuclear test. These sources have also assessed that the decision to conduct a seventh nuclear test remains solely within the hands of Kim Jong-un, who

[외교안보] Can America Live with a Nuclear North Korea?

If the United States has decided to live with North Korean nuclear weapons, it should take some actions to reduce the risks of those weapons.

[외교안보] China urges US to ‘reflect’ on nuclear arms policy

China has suggested the United States should “reflect” on its behaviour and reduce its nuclear arsenal after a senior official said Washington may need more warheads.

[해외자료] Learning From South Asia’s Nuclearization: Lessons for South Korea

... nuclear-weapons/"strongpublic sentiment in favor of South Korea having independent nuclear forces. That said, studiesshowthat South Koreans are also confident that the United States will make good on its nuclear commitments, which...

[정치/군사] 북핵 퍼즐과 한반도 아마겟돈

...정책은 북한이 동북아 지역에 가하는 위협을 줄이는 데 분명히 실패했다"는 로버드 갈루치(Robert L.Gallucci) 전 미 국무부 차관보의 발언과 "우리는 미국이 이 위험한 상황을 신속히 해결하기 위해 절대적으로 주의를 기울여야 한다고 믿는다(...we believe it is imperative that the United States turn its attention to quickly resolving this dangerous situation)"는 스티븐 보즈워스(Stephen Bosworth) 전 국무부 대북정책 특별대표와 로버드 갈루치(Robert L.Gallucci) 전 미 국무부 차관보가 「인터내셔널 뉴욕 타임즈」에서 한 공동의 주장에 대해 깊이 생각해보아야...

[현안분석] 미국의 한반도 확장억제 평가

...of the art conventional weapon system of the United States. For mid- to long-term measures, deployment of tactical nuclear weapons and nuclear sharing might be discussed between the two allies particularly when North Korea conducts strategic provocations such as nuclear and/or ICBM/SLBM tests. It is thus important for ROK to have the United States convinced that those two allies are sharing common...

[현안분석] 미중 경쟁 지정학 속의 북중관계

... problem to fix. But after taking office, he became the first incumbent U.S. leader to directly sit down with the North Korean leader. As much as the United States is active in the North Korean nuclear issue, China’s role and strategic space was reduced in reverse. The South Korean media used the term “China passing” (meaning, China is being sidelined) to point out the unusual phenomenon...

[현안분석] 탈냉전 30년과 한반도: 북핵문제를 중심으로

...unification or peaceful coexistence. The post-Cold War period has turned out, however, not to be so, as the two de-facto states, far from enjoying improved relationships and enhanced prospect of unification, have suffered from the sporadic international crises stemming from the nuclear ambition of the North. In retrospect after the 30 years of futile efforts to “denuclearize” North Korea,...

[학위논문] 북한의 핵보유국화와 미·중 패권경쟁 : 3차 북핵위기와 북·미·중 전략적 삼각관계

3차 북핵 위기를 북·미·중 전략적 삼각관계 이론을 적용해 분석해본 결과 1, 2차 핵위기 때와는 다른 특징을 발견할 수 있었다. 미중 전략경쟁이 고조되면서 그 이전에는 볼 수 없었던 새로운 형태의 ‘안정적 결혼’ 유형이 나타난 것이다. 이 유형은 미국을 중심으로 중국과 북한 관계가 모두 부정적이며, 북한과 중국만이 우호적인 관계를 의미한다. 이런 현상은 기본적으로 미중 관계의 변화에서 초래됐다. 1차 북핵 위기 때 미국은 국력이 미약했던 중국을 의식하지 않고 북한과 직접 협상을 진행했다. 그 결과가 1994년 북미간 제네바 합의였다. 2차 위기 때는 미국에 의해 중국이 북핵 협상에 참여하는 것이 용인된 상태됐다. 1,2차 핵위기 때를 전략적 삼각관계

[학위논문] 북한의 핵억제 전략 최적화 연구, 2012-2024 -전망이론의 분석틀을 중심으로-

... test launches, with initial nuclear deterrence capability as the reference point. The second period (2018-2019), termed a ‘risk-averse Strategic State Recognition Strategy’, attempted to achieve recognition as a nuclear state and sanctions relief through negotiations with the United States by strengthening communication. The third period (2020-2022.9), defined as a ‘risk-accepting...