[학술논문] The establishment of Trump government and US-Japan relation: Security-trade linkage change

...construct new security system, he is strongly executing trade policies of bilateral U.S.-Japan FTA after withdrawing TPP. By putting in ‘odd man out theory’ method to understand 3 players’ negotiation and ‘ prospect theory’ method for the analysis of defensive negotiation strategy to overcome rival relation, this paper explains foreign policy adjustment process between...

[학위논문] 북한 정치사회화 과정에서의 군의 역할

Not a few scholars viewed that Korean Peninsula was on the verge of becoming reunification according to the prospect of the dramatic change, especially meaning the falling-down of North Korea in the aftermath of the collapse of East-European Communist countries around 1990 and the consequent transformation of Communist block as a result of the demise of Soviet Union. However, North Korea still maintains...

[학위논문] 북한 정치사회화 과정에서의 군의 역할

Not a few scholars viewed that Korean Peninsula was on the verge of becoming reunification according to the prospect of the dramatic change, especially meaning the falling-down of North Korea in the aftermath of the collapse of East-European Communist countries around 1990 and the consequent transformation of Communist block as a result of the demise of Soviet Union. However, North Korea still maintains...

[학술논문] 북한의 ‘정면돌파전’ ‐ 전망이론으로 읽기

이 글에서는 북한의 ‘정면돌파전’을 전망이론( prospect theory)적 관점에서 탐색하고 평가하는데 초점을 맞추고 있다. 그리고 2가지 질문에 답하고자 했다. 첫째;북한이 2019년 12월 조선로동당 중앙위원회 제7기 제5차 전원회의에서 새로운 전략적 노선으로 정면돌파전을 결정할 시기;현 상태와 그 이후 상황을 손익으로 판단하는 기준이 된 준거점은 무엇이었는가? 둘째;정면돌파전 결정시기 조성된 대내외 형세;즉 국내상황과 대외환경 유동성 요인들이 현 상태와 이후 상황을 준거점 기준 손실영역으로 판단하는데 어떤 영향을 주었는가? 2가지 질문에 대한 답은 다음과 같다. 첫째;북한이 2019년 김정은 신년사에서 새로운 길을 언급하고;4월 최고인민회의 제14기 제1차 회의에서 연말까지로 북미...

[학위논문] 북한의 핵억제 전략 최적화 연구, 2012-2024 -전망이론의 분석틀을 중심으로-

...framework of Prospect Theory. Prospect Theory explains that an actor’s strategic choices are determined by perceptions of gains and losses based on a reference point. In particular, actors tend to make risk-accepting choices when they perceive themselves to be in the domain of losses and risk-averse choices when in the domain of gains. This analytical framework of Prospect Theory is useful...