[학술논문] People’s Exit in North Korea: New Threat to <em>Regime</em> Stability?

...they a resourceful critical mass? 3) Does exit always lead to <em>regime</em> <em>instability</em>? 4) Would China and South Korea encourage exile politics against the current North Korean <em>regime</em>? The paper contends that the North Korean refugee community does not currently represent a critical mass that can trigger <em>instability</em> of the Pyongyang <em>regime</em>. Most of the North Korean refugees are not political dissidents...

[학위논문] 북한의 핵인식과 정책 변화 동인 연구: 6자회담 이탈 전후 시기를 중심으로

...pressures-such as the emergence of U.S.-China strategic rivalry, the stalling of the Six-Party Talks, and delays in North Korea’s delisting from the U.S. terrorism sponsor list-as well as internal <em>instability</em> stemming from Kim Jong-il’s stroke and leadership succession concerns. Perceiving the collapse of denuclearization efforts, North Korea escalated nuclear development, conducting a second test and...

[학술논문] Diagnosis and Assessment of North Korea’s Sociocultural Sector in 2012

...guaranteed spots in the succession <em>regime</em>. Since <em>instability</em> in the Kim Jong-un <em>regime</em> translates directly to collective anxiety, the revolutionary generation will participate in ensuring a stable power succession. The tasks for Kim Jong-un is to persuade North Koreans of his vision for the future and change their quality of life. In the short term, the new <em>regime</em> will promote the idea of the leader’s...

[학술논문] Stalemate and Beyond: The North Korean Nuclear Impasse and Its Future

...stopped the East Asian region from continuing its rapid course of politico-economic change and development – a trajectory in which the DPRK is increasingly irrelevant except as a potential source of <em>instability</em>. (South Korea, in particular, is emerging as an increasingly important and sophisticated player on the world stage, even as the United States seeks to maintain a vigorous and engaged forward regional...

[학술논문] New Games in Tightly Fixed Structures: North Korea’s Volatile Desperation and China’s Cornered Strategy

...2009 is nothing less than a renewal of the alliance. This is a sea change, brought about first of all by the deterioration of Kim Jong Il’s health and then by all the resulting turmoil of his <em>regime</em>’s <em>instability</em> and difficulties. Both sides’ policy behavior toward the other became a “new game,” dictated by a sort of dire emergency, and placed them in a tightly fixed structure reducing much of the scope...

[국내] U.S. Contingency Plan for North Korea’s <em>Regime</em> Collapse

...North Korean <em>regime</em> will not take place overnight. No matter how rapidly the situation unfolds, it will take different stages over certain period of time. And each stage will require different tasks and preparations for the U.S. and its allies. This paper divides and evaluates possible North Korean contingency into three stages: an early stage with beginning of domestic <em>instability</em>, a complete breakdown...

[국내] 2014 이슈브리프 상반기 단행본 (2014-01 ~ 2014-16)

...event of political chaos north of the 38th parallel, a conceptual plan that only became a completed operational plan in 2009. In 2008, the South Korean government altered its defense strategy to incorporate rapid response brigades, anchored by 2,000 advanced wheeled armored vehicles that could move quickly to secure cities and critical infrastructure in case of internal <em>instability</em> in the North.

[국내] 글로벌 핵질서의 변화와 한국의 안보정책 과제

...military technology and the interconnection of nuclear issues are increasing the <em>instability</em> of the international nuclear order. Domestic political factors in nuclear states, such as political polarization in democratic countries and authoritarian policy-making in some nuclear states, are also contributing to the <em>instability</em> of the nuclear order. The weakening of the existing strategic arms control system...

[국내] IFANS Forecast 2025

...significant resource constraints. In particular, if the strained relations with China persist and trade fails to rebound, it is likely that North Korea continues to face worsening resource shortages and <em>instability</em> of exchange rates and prices in the market. Therefore, it is anticipated that Pyongyang will try to make a breakthrough by seeking external resources through military cooperation with Russia and...