[해외자료] Deterring a Nuclear North Korea: What Does the Theory Tell Us?

Executive Summary Deterrence has long been the centerpiece of security strategy on the Korean Peninsula. Over the past two decades, however, the security situation has undergone a fundamental change—deterrence now must account for a Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK or North Korea) armed with nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles capable of delivering...

[해외자료] Learning From South Asia’s Nuclearization: Lessons for South Korea

Earlier this year, South Korea’s President Yoon Suk-Yeol said his country could a href="https://www.voanews.com/ a/why-south-korea-s-president-is-talking-about-nuclear-weapons/6919962.html"buildanuclear weapons if the security situation with North Korea continues to get worse. Amid increased weapons testing by North Korea, his statement was the first time this option has been...

[해외자료] North Korean Market Prices Suggest Serious Food Shortages

Recently, the BBCbecame one of few global outlets to succeed in a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-65881803"interviewing ordinary North Koreans inside the country about the food situationa, and the picture they painted is dire: starvation, empty markets and other signs of severe food shortages.

[해외자료] Arms Racing in Northeast Asia and Implications for the Korean Peninsula

...accelerated over the past few years–fueled by great power competition and North Korea’s rapidly advancing WMD capabilities. This competition has implications for continued efforts to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula, and could ultimately create a volatile situation in a region of such political, strategic, and economic importance, to both the US and broader international peace and security.

[현안분석] 통일 후 동북아 외교안보 환경과 한국외교의 과제

...maximize the pursuit of its national interests under this situation, it must adjust the “speed” of cooperation with China by focusing on economic collaboration while taking gradual steps to strengthen cooperation in the political and security arenas; assure the United States that the ROK-US alliance remains the cornerstone of Korean security, just as it is for the US-UK relationship; build enough...

[현안분석] 북핵 고도화 상황에서 미 확장억제의 이행 가능성 평가

...as promised under the situation that North Korea has developed very advanced nuclear weapons and missiles. For this purpose, it introduces theories and practices of extended deterrence and selects five factors such as the risk of entrapment, the value of South Korea, responses of China and Russia, an influence to other U.S. allies and domestic elements for the examination. As a result, this paper did...

[현안분석] 북한 리더십 위기와 핵·미사일 개발

...meanings in terms of economic and security, and finally consist of cognitive centrality and value centrality that reproduce political legitimacy. Therefore, the current nuclear-missile oriented path is too expensive to be converted to an alternative path depending on the change of the external environment. In other words, path dependency is the most intensified situation. However, since the Sixth Nuclear...

[현안분석] 김정은 시대 10년: 「노동당 중앙지도기관」의 구성과 변화

...Korea. Under theunfavorable situation described as “an era of turmoil,” North Korea is pursuing a “head-onbreakthrough” to overcome hardships with the party-centered system and policy structure. While concentrating its capabilities on the implementation of the new Five-year Plan, NorthKorea puts the security of the people’s livelihood as...

[현안분석] 바이든 행정부 출범 이후 북미관계 평가와 전망: 전략적 의도를 중심으로

...around the Korean Peninsula will act toward a direction of reducing constraints. Therefore, strategic discussions between South Korea and the United States are needed on the denuclearization- security assurance discourse that can embrace the US denuclearization-first discourse and North Korea's security-first discourse. This denuclearization- security discourse will create favorable conditions for...