[정치/군사] The Sister: The extraordinary story of Kim Yo Jong, the most powerful woman in North Korea

...Jong Un, and the most powerful woman in North Korea. In 2022, in a particularly fiery speech, Kim Yo Jong threatened to nuke South Korea, reminding the world of the dangers posed by her state. But how did the youngest daughter of Dear Leader Kim Jong Il, his ‘sweet princess’, become the ruthless chief propagandist, internal administrator and foreign policymaker for her brother’s totalitarian regime?...

[학술논문] Ostpolitik Revisited: The Lessons and the Remaining Consequences of Nordpolitik

This paper argues that the South Korean government’s policy during the entire post Cold War period, from Roh Tae-woo’s administration to the current Lee Myung-bak administration, did little to resolve the issues pertaining to the conflictual North-South relationship. This is because the problems of today, including the North Korean nuclear problem, were largely the consequences of the failure of Nordpolitik...

[학술논문] 데탕트의 쇠퇴와 남-북-미 관계의 동학 -판문점 도끼만행사건을 중심으로-

...only a half cock success. The typical US half cock strategy is also reflected in the sinking of the Cheonan, one of the ROK Navy corvette which was occurred in March 2010. The ROK and US Government did not show any decisive countermove against the North Korean attack against the ROK Navy corvette Cheonan. I believe there will be international sanctions against North Korea, but it would not be strong...

[학술논문] Barak Obama and North Korea: A Study in Presidential Transition

This study will examine the policy of the incoming administration of Barak Obama toward North Korea’s nuclear program as a case-study in presidential transitions. Obama did not give much prominence to North Korea during the campaign, but he clearly framed the talks on the DPRK nuclear question in the broader contexts of promoting international law, strengthening the nuclear nonproliferation regime...

[학위논문] 북한에서의 선거적 연결에 관한 연구 : 김정은 시대 최고인민회의 대의원 선거(2014,2019) 분석을 중심으로

...excluded. These patterns suggest that the regime selectively evaluates the political effectiveness of each message category and adjusts them according to shifting priorities. Post-election messaging did not automatically return to pre-election levels. Instead, messages were selectively maintained or modified based on their function—personality cult narratives persisted, diplomatic themes quickly receded...

[학위논문] 김정은 정권의 핵정책 분석, 2011~2021 -북한 지배연합의 선택과 관계국의 대응을 중심으로

...reinforce his authority and legitimacy. This mutual interest between the ruler and the elite underpinned Kim’s hardline stance in negotiations with the United States. However, North Korea-the U.S. talks did not unfold according to Kim’s wishes. This paper finds that the breakdown was primarily driven by mutual distrust over intentions and capabilities, doubts about agreement implementation, and domestic...

[국내] Politico-Military;Repercussions of North Korean Crisis

...North Korean collapse will necessarily be accompanied by an extensive disturbance among the people or a violent, bloody struggle of a small group of officers in the military. If a North Korean collapse did not occur in a vacuum, one needs to think about how Kim Jong-il's monolithic system or Kim Jong-un's succession system collapsed. The reason is, the hereditary succession from Kim Il-sung to Kim Jong-il...

[국내] 최근 이란 정세의 전략적 함의: 한반도를 위한 정책 제언

...capabilities, ballistic missile development efforts, and nuclear weaponization endeavors have all been effectively unconstrained. The U.S. intelligence community has repeatedly assessed in recent years, as it did in March, that Kim Jong Un, the North Korean leader, “has no intention of negotiating away his strategic weapons programs.” Iran, meanwhile, submitted to intrusive verification provisions under the...

[국내] Managing Decline? NATO’s Uneasy Future After the 2025 Summit

...facilities. With these overlapping crises, there were doubts about whether President Trump would even attend the Summit, given his abrupt departure from the recent G7 meeting. Even if President Trump did attend, these contentious issues set the stage for a high-stakes gathering. All things considered, the Summit was portrayed as a success by NATO members, yielding a succinct Hague Summit Declaration...

[국내] 북한의 주요 불법거래 수입 추정: 2017~2021년의 시기를 중심으로

...must have been spent on importing WMD parts and smuggling production goods. Therefore, the actual foreign exchange balance during this period is estimated to be ‘-1.9 billion dollars - α’. Although we did not provide a direct estimation method in this article, our estimate is that North Korea's foreign currency reserves at the end of 2016 were about $10.6 billion. Therefore, as of the end of 2021, foreign...

[국내] 이스라엘의 핵문턱에 대한 위협 연구

...power, along with the support of the United States, largely acted as deterrents in preventing Israel from reaching the nuclear threshold. For the ongoing war with the quasi-state organization, it also did not pose a threat to the nuclear threshold. In the case of a future war against Iran, Israel’s nuclear threshold is expected to be greatly jeopardized by Israel’s geopolitical vulnerability, the military...