[해외자료] Punggye-ri Update: Waiting for Kim

...has assessed that the seventh nuclear test could be carried out sometime between October 16 and November 7, after the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party and before the U.S. midterm elections.1Consistent with this assessment and given the recent series of provocations...

[해외자료] Picturing the DPRK: Elections

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[해외자료] ROK Elections and DPRK Provocations

To study the relationship between North Korean provocations and South Korean elections, Beyond Parallel created a new database of events incorporating both presidential and national assembly elections from the Republic of Korea (ROK) over the last six decades. The event set was cross-tabulated with Beyond Parallel’s original dataset on North Korean provocations. Based on this cross-comparison...

[해외자료] U.S. Elections and North Korean Provocations Since 1956

Beyond Parallel conducted a study of whether there are patterns to North Korean behavior around U.S. elections. To carry out this study we created a dataset of U.S. election events, incorporating both presidential and congressional midterm election years, and cross-tabulated this information with ouroriginal...

[해외자료] South Korea’s President Park

In 2011, as she geared up for the 2012 presidential election in South Korea, Park Geun-hye told aides that she would like to reach out to some of the people her father fought and even imprisoned when he was the country’s authoritarian ruler in the 1960s and 1970s. A few years earlier, she developed a relationship with the man her father treated the worst, Kim Dae-jung, who as president in the

[현안분석] The 2024 U.S. Elections and Outlook for U.S. Allies

...defensepolicies this time could be unstoppable and unpredictable. What should U.S. alliesmake of the unprecedented 2024 U.S. elections? How might President Trump dealwith friends and foes this time? This Asan Issue Brief provides an overview of the 2024 U.S. elections and the outlookfor U.S. allies, with a focus on the view from Seoul. The Issue Brief proceeds as follows.

[학술논문] Potential Sources of Tension and Future Tasks for the ROK-U.S. Alliance

...Indo-Pacific strategy; c) ROK defense modernization; and d) human rights and values-based diplomacy. How these tensions are addressed will be shaped in part by the outcome of South Korean presidential elections in March 2022. All security alliances face periods of tension as alliance relationships ebb and flow in the wake of a changing external security environment and domestic political shifts. As such...

[현안분석] IFANS FORECAST 2017

...“Re-Arrange” their original policy goals and priorities, which will result in a complex international environment. The election of Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential elections in November 2016 will exert a profound influence on international politics, economy and diplomacy. While President-elect Trump is expected to carry out many of the Republican Party’s...

[현안분석] Europe’s Defense Revival: What’s at Stake for South Korea

When the European Union (EU) leaders were conducting arm-wrestling negotiations in the last week of June over the EU’s top jobs following the outcome of the European Parliament elections, a different piece of news from Brussels sent Seoul’s and Tokyo’s rumor mills churning. Citing an unnamed senior European Commission official, Nikkei Asiareported that...