[정치/군사] 한국의 핵안보 프로젝트 2

...민주주의와 확장억제의 신뢰성에 관한 것으로, 한국 성인 1,200명을 대상으로 설문조사 연구를 진행했다. 주목할 만한 발견은 미국 민주주의의 후퇴가 확장억제의 신뢰성 저하와 큰 상관관계를 가진다는 점이다. 그렇다면 우리는 과연 미국 민주주의의 회복탄력성을 믿어도 될까? 셋째, 7월 15일 「동아시아에서 떠오르는 이중 핵 위협(A Rising Nuclear Double Threat in East Asia)」이라는 워게임 보고서가 국내 언론을 통해 기사화되었다. 이 보고서는 두 가지 상황을 상정했다. 하나는 북한의 서해 도발이 확전되면서 북한이 전술핵무기를 사용했을 때이고, 다른 하나는 중국의 대만침공 시점에 북한이 전술핵무기를 사용했을 때이다. 보고서는 두 가지 상황 모두에서 핵전쟁을 우려한 미국이 북한에 핵보복을...

[정치/군사] Nuclear North Korea

... to Kim Jong-un as “Rocket Man,” Nuclear North Korea remains an essential guide to the difficult choices we face. Coming from different perspectives—Kang believes the threat posed by Pyongyang has been inflated and endorses a more open approach, while Cha is more skeptical and advocates harsher measures, though both believe that some form of engagement is necessary—the authors together present authoritative...

[학술논문] 한미상호방위조약 체결을 위한 이승만 정부의 협상전략

...political strategy was able to made the conclusion of the ROK-US Mutual Defense Treaty. Hereafter, the ROK will confront simultaneously in the North Korea's direct threat including asymmetrical weapon and nuclear weapons, with potential threat to the surrounding faced at the same time such as escalation of territorial conflict by neighboring, terror by hostile actor etc. In addition, due to defense reform...

[학술논문] Research on The Damage Scale Analysis of a Tactical Nuclear Attack by Wind Direction and Speed

...tactical nuclear attack poses the most dangerous threat to South Korean society. However, the Ministry of National Defense and the government do not predict or prepare adequately for which tacticalnuclear attack will occur or what damage scale it will cause if it happens. Additionally, there is a lack of analysis onhow wind direction and speed affect the extent of damage caused by a tactical nuclear attack...

[학술논문] Lessons from Russia's Nuclear Forward‐Deployment to Belarus for the USA and South Korea

Following Belarus's request, Russia deployed its nuclear weapons to Belarus within one or two years, whereas the USA has not even engaged in discussions on a similar option for South Korea, which has faced an existential nuclear threat from North Korea. This article seeks to extract key insights from Belarus's experience and propose corresponding policy implications for the US–South Korea alliance...

[학술논문] Strategy Optimization of Peripheral Nuclear States: Hybrid Modality Deterrence in Confronting Regional and Extra-Regional Threats

Peripheral nuclear states face distinct strategic and technological constraints when compared to the established nuclear powers. North Korea illustrates how such states can simultaneously adopt different nuclear postures towards distinct adversaries, calibrated to their respective threat profiles, through what may be described as a Hybrid Modality Deterrence model. Within this model, two posture types...

[학술논문] ROK–U.S.–Japan “Operational” Security Cooperation for Responding to a Two-Front Crisis

...theaters. This strategy focuses on diplomatic coordination to institutionalize a shared threat perception of a potential two-front crisis, conducting joint exercises tailored to simultaneous contingencies with a view to enhancing trilateral interoperability, and expanding multi-domain cooperation—particularly in nuclear, cyber, and space domains—to develop integrated operational capabilities. By advancing...

[해외] Should Japan change its approach to North Korean denuclearization?

...security challenges, including North Korea’s advancing nuclear and missile programs, closer military ties between Russia and North Korea, and strengthening military relations between China and Russia. In particular, expanding Russia-North Korea military ties—potentially involving troop deployments and technology transfers—poses a complex security threat that could enhance North Korea’s conventional and...

[해외] North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons and Missile Programs

...has advanced its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs, which has raised the threat Pyongyang poses to the U.S. homeland, U.S. allies in East Asia, and U.S. interests. In April 2026, a U.S. defense official testified that "North Korea's nuclear forces are increasingly capable of targeting the U.S. Homeland, and its missile forces can strike South Korea and Japan with nuclear or conventional...

[해외] Why Japan and South Korea Won’t Go Nuclear

...this confluence of threats will prompt South Korea and Japan to cross the nuclear Rubicon. In 2023, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol mused that his country “could rapidly develop its own nuclear weapons” if the threat from North Korea continued to grow. Foreign Minister Cho Tae-yul stated in February 2025 that nuclear armament was “not off the table.” Later that year, a comment by an unnamed...

[해외] Project Anthracite: Imagery Search for Possible Nuclear, Chemical, and Biological Defense Battalions

...Additionally, the existence of NCDB Bns would not necessarily confirm the existence of an offensive, militarized nuclear or chemical warfare capability, as it could be argued that such formations would have a defensive function to counter an external chemical or biological warfare (CBW) threat. Some or all of the reported Bns may no longer exist, may never have existed, may have been relocated, or may...

[해외] Kim’s Dangerous Liaisons: Russia, China, and the Growing North Korea Threat

...Strategic Partnership the two men signed that day formalized a relationship that had been quietly taking shape since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022: a military alliance between two nuclear-armed pariah states. By October 2024, around 11,000 North Korean troops had been deployed to Russia, primarily in the Kursk region along Ukraine’s northeastern border, to support Russian combat operations...