[정치/군사]
...관한 것으로, 한국 성인 1,200명을 대상으로 설문조사 연구를 진행했다. 주목할 만한 발견은 미국 민주주의의 후퇴가 확장억제의 신뢰성 저하와 큰 상관관계를 가진다는 점이다. 그렇다면 우리는 과연 미국 민주주의의 회복탄력성을 믿어도 될까?
셋째, 7월 15일 「동아시아에서 떠오르는 이중 핵 위협(A Rising Nuclear Double Threat in East Asia)」이라는 워게임 보고서가 국내 언론을 통해 기사화되었다. 이 보고서는 두 가지 상황을 상정했다. 하나는 북한의 서해 도발이 확전되면서 북한이 전술핵무기를 사용했을 때이고, 다른 하나는 중국의 대만침공 시점에 북한이 전술핵무기를 사용했을 때이다. 보고서는 두 가지 상황 모두에서 핵전쟁을 우려한 미국이 북한에 핵보복을...
[정치/군사]
... U.S. president angrily refers to Kim Jong-un as “Rocket Man,” Nuclear North Korea remains an essential guide to the difficult choices we face.
Coming from different perspectives—Kang believes the threat posed by Pyongyang has been inflated and endorses a more open approach, while Cha is more skeptical and advocates harsher measures, though both...
[학술논문] 미국 냉전정책의 부메랑(boomerang) -2006년 북한의 제1차 핵실험의 정치-
...compliance with its international obligations- to resolve the North Korea' nuclear threat. Given the current armistice situation between them, U.S. attempts to denuclearization is to force North Korea to just surrender. So, the U.S. will fail to achieve their purpose for the dismantlement of North Korea's nuclear program. What does the U.S. Really want? That is probably 'status quo'...
[학술논문] The Park Geun-hye Government’s Role in a Needed New Strategy toward North Korea
...trust with North Korea in the difficult context of North Korea’s threats against South Korea and the United States, and the prospect that North Korea soon will produce nuclear warheads for its Nodong missiles. Nuclear warheads on the Nodongs will give North Korea a new instrument to pursue provocative acts against South Korea. It signifies the death of denuclearization as a credible policy...
[학술논문] North Korean Nuclear Armament and Perspective on Nuclear Domino in Northeast Asia
... to Japan, a nuclear-armed Japan would be not likewise tolerable to its neighboring countries. The neighboring countries, which possess nuclear science and technology, under the logic of deterrence and mutual action may make progress nuclear armament in opposition to North Korean nuclear threat. It is neither desired nor happened. In order not to realize that possibility, international society should...
[학술논문] 북한의 핵보유와 한반도 평화확보
... and its vicinity will occur: (1) non-nuclear state South Korea will become a hostage of nuclear state North Korea; (2) the asymmetry of military power between the two Koreas will make the gap more severe; (3) North Korea may blatantly threat nuclear attack against the U.S. and Japan; (4) The Korean Peninsula, Japan, and the U.S. will be “Within one war theater”, which means the all three...
[학술논문] Game Changer: North Korea under the Obama-Lee Partnership and Beyond
...Deterrence.” Case studies in this paper also show that inconsistency in policy toward North Korea should be considered an important factor in the failure to coerce North Korea to abandon its nuclear program. Factors of domestic politics and ideological confrontation in South Korean society are also analyzed as part of several popular but flawed arguments concerning inter-Korean relations. In...