[해외자료] North Korea Leaving Maneuvering Room with the US While Preparing for Long-Term Confrontation

...and consistently clear that it will not give up its nuclear weapons and instead, will continue to strengthen its capabilities. This was perhaps most vividly demonstrated by Kim Jong Un’s unprecedented visits to nuclear-material production facilities and the Nuclear Weapons Institute (NWI) in September 2024 and in January 2025. The nuclear signaling aligns with Pyongyang’s

[해외자료] Deterring a Nuclear North Korea: What Does the Theory Tell Us?

Executive Summary Deterrence has long been the centerpiece of security strategy on the Korean Peninsula. Over the past two decades, however, the security situation has undergone a fundamental change—deterrence now must account for a Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK or North Korea) armed with nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles capable of delivering them.

[해외자료] First Look at North Korea’s Uranium Enrichment Capabilities

...kcmsf"North Korean state media reportedthat Kim Jong Un visited uranium enrichment facilities to learn more about the country’s fissile material production process and capabilities. During the visit, Kim was accompanied by Hong Sung Mu, one of the country’s leading nuclear scientists, and the head of the country’s Nuclear Weapons Institute, whose name is unclear.

[해외자료] Manpo Unha Factory Part 1: A Missing Piece in North Korea’s Nuclear Puzzle

...enriched uranium (HEU) at Yongbyon. Aside from supporting the nuclear program, the Manpo Unha Factory has reportedly occupied a significant position in the research and production of liquid rocket fuel and chemical weapons at various times. The importance of the Manpo Unha Factory to North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs is indicated by its ongoing...

[해외자료] Manpo Unha Factory Part 1: A Missing Piece in North Korea’s Nuclear Puzzle

...enriched uranium (HEU) at Yongbyon. Aside from supporting the nuclear program, the Manpo Unha Factory has reportedly occupied a significant position in the research and production of liquid rocket fuel and chemical weapons at various times. The importance of the Manpo Unha Factory to North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs is indicated by its ongoing...

[정치/군사] 2025년 북핵 쟁점: 군축·군비 통제 담론 대응 중심으로

...평가한다. 설사 협상이 진행되더라도 미북 양측이 이를 전략적이기보다 정치적 차원에서 접근함으로써 타협의 과정까지 이를 가능성도 높지 않을 것이다. 협상 개시와 타협에 비관적인 이유는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 북한이 원하는 군축은 자신을 핵확산방지조약(Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, NPT) 상 핵보유국으로 인정해달라는 것이고, 미국의 군비통제적 접근은 북한을 NPT 상 핵 비보유국으로 남기겠다는 것이다. 목표가 상이하므로 타협의 여지가 극히 낮다. 둘째, 설사 미북이 군비통제 방식으로 협상하더라도 타협 가능성이 높다고 단언할 수 없는데, 북한의 비핵화 조건이 ‘전세계의 비핵화’이기 때문이다. 이는...

[현안분석] 영국 핵무장 과정 및 전략이 한국 핵무장에 주는 시사점

...third nation to acquire nuclear weapons, and the first non-superpower to do so in the early 1950s. The country succeeded in testing both conventional fission and thermonuclear warheads before forging a unique and enduring nuclear partnership with the United States that allowed it to purchase strategic nuclear weapons from the US. At the same time, with its relatively small nuclear force, it has adopted...

[현안분석] 인구절벽 문제와 한국의 자체 핵무장 옵션

...explaining about the qualitative and quantitative setback of South Korean military's outstanding conventional forces. Therefore, the paper reviews South Korea's development of indigenous nuclear weapons as a means of offsetting its economic and military decline, amid regional security conflicts and demographic cliff. The paper then concludes that South Korean nuclearization would serve as both...

[현안분석] 이스라엘의 핵문턱에 대한 위협 연구

...살펴보았다. This study assesses the increased risk of nuclear weapons use by Israel in the Middle East in a context of growing nuclear instability, and analyzes the threat by examining the nuclear threshold-the point at which Israel would use nuclear weapons. Israel's nuclear threshold, which maintains a policy of nuclear ambiguity, was refined based on scholarly research. The facilitating...

[현안분석] 북핵 고도화 상황에서 미 확장억제의 이행 가능성 평가

...있고, 확장억제의 이행가능성을 높이는 데 집중적인 외교적 노력을 경주해야 할 것이다. This paper is written to examine whether the U.S. nuclear extended deterrence would be implemented as promised under the situation that North Korea has developed very advanced nuclear weapons and missiles. For this purpose, it introduces theories and practices of extended deterrence and selects five factors such as the...

[현안분석] 인정과 오인: 사드 배치와 한중 간 인정투쟁

...sanctions detrimental to its own interests and demolished the foundation for its relations with South Korea. Insisting that the THAAD deployment is an inevitable step to counter North Korea’s nuclear weapons and missiles, South Korea, immersed in deep bewilderment, has considered a number of countermeasures including the possibility of bringing the case to the World Trade Organization. This article...