[해외자료] No Launch Activity in Advance of Inter-Korean Summit

On Saturday April 21, commercial satellite imagery from the Sohae Satellite Launching Station indicates minimal to no activity ahead of the inter-Korean summit. The summit is scheduled to take place on April 27. The imagery of key facilities at Sohae shows no visible activity at the launch station or associated facilities. While dwindled ground activity could be attributed to the fact that images...

[해외자료] Peace in Korea? What You Need to Know about the Koreas Summit and the Trump-Kim Summit

Question 1: What was accomplished in this summit compared to the past? Is this truly a historic meeting? Answer 1:This meeting is historic in its timing in two ways. First, the summit represents an aggressive attempt at diplomacy, engineered primarily by South Korea, to avoid the collision course that the United States and North Korea appeared to be on...

[해외자료] Summit Silver Lining: Absence of North Korean Provocations Continue

There has been much criticism of President Trump’s impulsive actions and the unconventionality of the Singapore Summit. However, absent a complete breakdown of the encounter between the leaders, the summit is likely to produce a negotiation process between the United States and North Korea that will implement the mandates laid out by the leaders on denuclearization, security assurances, and...

[해외자료] Seven Takeaways from the April 27 Inter-Korean Summit: Issues and Assessments

...characterize theApril 27 inter-Korean summitare “the lost 11 years” mentioned several times by Kim Jong-un during his opening remarks at the summit and the statement “complete denuclearization” or a “nuclear-free Korean Peninsula,” incorporated into the

[해외자료] Signals Indicate Kim on Sure Footing in Singapore

On the eve of the Trump-Kim Summit, Predata signals capturing patterns of web traffic reveal a North Korean regime secure in its place and an expert community skeptical that the historic meeting will produce meaningful results.

[현안분석] Prospects for North Korea-U.S. Relations and Nuclear Talks

...Pyongyang and handle its nuclear issue through a realistic approach. The evolving circumstances also represent a strong likelihood that the current bilateral impasse will be transcended through a revitalized North Korea-U.S. summit diplomacy, with a phased approach to pragmatically manage North Korea’s nuclear capabilities as a solution to the nuclear challenges posed by the hermit kingdom.

[학위논문] 북한 핵 위기관리 연구 : 1차 핵위기를 중심으로

...been stalled as North Korea, while insisting only on a bilateral talk with the US, refuses to participate. South Korea has been exerting every diplomatic capacity, including President Roh's summit diplomacy, in an effort to resolve the issue peacefully, but the prospect still remains obscure. In essence, the second nuclear crisis is an extension of the first crisis with a similar development...

[현안분석] 미북 정상외교 재개의 전망: 안정, 현실주의, 그리고 전략적 명료성

...may lean into high-level diplomacy to help restore peaceful coexistence with the North. Meaningful diplomatic progress should be tangible, not just superficial. Yet both the failure of past efforts to find and sustain a breakthrough in U.S.-DPRK relations, and current troubles in world affairs, suggest extreme caution before leaping to the belief that summit diplomacy, even between two strongmen...

[현안분석] 정상외교로 바라본 북중관계 : 김정은의 중국방문을 중심으로

정상외교( summit diplomacy)는 대표적인 외교술의 한 형태이고 정책결정의 최고위층에서 수행되는 국가 간 대화이다. 북중 정상외교는 한반도에서 전쟁의 운명을 결정했고, 양국관계를 동맹조약으로 묶어버렸으며, 긴장과 대립으로 치닫던 양국관계의 전격적인 개선을 가져오기도 했다. 김정은은 2018년 3월부터 6월까지 3차에 걸친 중국 방문을 통해서 ▲북중 당정군관계의 완전한 회복 ▲국제정세에 대한 전략적 소통강화 ▲한반도 비핵화에 대한 공동대응 ▲북미회담 대응 및 정보공유 ▲대북제재 완화 등을 의도했다. 반면 시진핑은 ‘중국소외(china passing)’를 극복하고 한반도에 대한 영향력을 회복할 수 있었다. 김정은의 정상외교는 ‘은둔의...

[현안분석] 바이든 행정부 출범 이후 북한 대외정책 분석: 대미정책을 중심으로

...SouthKorean government must continue to persuade North Korea to return to the U.S.-North Korea dialogue based on close coopertative ties with the U.S., which were verified through the South Korea-U.S. summit held in May of this year. South Korea must also come up with its own plan regarding the conditions of the negotiations that will be offered to North Korea in each phase of denuclearization and consult...