[학술논문] Strategy Optimization of Peripheral Nuclear States: Hybrid Modality Deterrence in Confronting Regional and Extra-Regional Threats

...conventional inferiority. The second, Limited Retaliatory Response, is employed against the United States, whereby Pyongyang leverages Guam as a strategic hostage in the absence of reliable mainland strike capability. Taken together, these postures constitute a flexible and adaptive deterrent framework that may also provide useful insights for analyzing the nuclear behavior of other peripheral states.

[학술논문] ROK-U.S. Cooperation in Preparation for Hostile Actions by North Korea in Possession of Nuclear Weapons

...deterrence for South Korea appears to have many limitations. In fact, as demonstrated in the sinking of the ROK naval frigate Cheonan incident, North Korea, with its nuclear capability intact, now threatens SouthKorean security more openly. Accordingly, measures to increase the credibility of America’s extended deterrence become ever more imperative such that it will act as a stronger deterrence against...

[학술논문] 6·25전쟁과 심리전: ‘들리지 않던 총성, 종이폭탄! 삐라’를 중심으로

...the psychological warfare do critical role to gain strategic object and deter war. Therefore we need to adapt the lesson to learn more positively during the Korean war for the enhancement of deterrence capability and the victory with minimum damage or the method of unification strategy. For this approach, we should understand the intention and substantial purpose of north Korea’s various instigating...

[학술논문] Gathering Storm or Silver Lining Out of the Clouds? The North Korean Nuclear Issue and the Case for Coercive Diplomacy

...North Korea to decide on and implement the abolition of its nuclear program; and at the same time, the means of punishment used by the U.S. were limited due to the Iraq War, North Korea’s military capability, and the lack of coordination among the multiple coercers. This paper proposes that while the U.S. and its allies prepare a multi-faceted set of threats and incentives to persuade the North that...

[학위논문] 북한 핵 위협수준 분석과 맞춤형 재래식·핵통합(CNI) 억제방안

...The three-axis system subdivided the order of increasing the response strength into KMPR, KAMD, Kill-Chain. As for the deterrence measures by threat level, 9 deterrence measures were proposed by the 3×3 matrix. The criterion for evaluating the threat level is that nuclear capability is quantitatively evaluated based on the amount of reserves compared to the goal of possessing a nuclear warheads(300)...

[국내] Worth the Squeeze: A Conditions-based Analysis of South Korean Public Support for Nuclear Deterrence

How badly do South Koreans want nuclear weapons? The 2025 Asan Poll found a record 76.2% public support for acquiring an indigenous nuclear weapons capability and 66.3% support for the redeployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons to the Korean Peninsula. One of the main critiques of such findings is that the headline figures misrepresent the public’s true commitment to nuclear armament or redeployment...

[국내] A Sixties Comeback: Restoring U.S. Nuclear Presence in Northeast Asia

...that there are three nuclear threats in Northeast Asia, it is time to restore the U.S. nuclear force posture to reflect the threats of the 2020s. The redeployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons to South Korea and Japan would represent a third way between the risky pursuit of an indigenous nuclear weapons capability by these countries and the current dependence on offshore U.S. strategic weapons.

[국내] 노동당 8기 4차 전원회의 이후 북한의 대외정책과 정세인식 변화

...missile tests. South Korea needs to develop military response by bolstering its independent defense system against North Korea’s expansion of nuclear capability, and securing reaffirmation of the United States’ commitment to provide extended deterrence. Simultaneously, it is also necessary to express South Korea’s intention to solve problems with the North through dialogue and cooperation, which would...

[국내] 하노이 회담 이후 북한 전술·전략 무기개발 동향과 핵 억제 교리 진화의 함의

...기술은 아직 신뢰성이 있는 수준에 미달 ■ 신형 전술·전략 무기가 시사하는 북한의 핵 억제 교리 ○ 신형 무기들은 북한이 미 본토에 대한 ‘최소 억제(minimum deterrence)’를 추구하고 있음을 다시 한번 확인 ○ 미 대도시에 대한 ‘제 2격 능력(second strike capability)’ 확보를 위해 핵무기의 생존성과 응징보복 능력 극대화에 주력(SLBM, 이동형 ICBM, 다탄두 등) ○ 신형 전술무기 개발은 한반도와 일본에 대한 전술핵 공격 능력 확보를 통해 미 증원군의 전개를 차단하려는 ‘거부적 억제(deterrence by denial)’ 전략의 일환 ○ 북한의 핵 태세가 ‘확증보복(assured retaliation)’에 그치지 않고 전술핵의 조기 사용을 불사하는 ‘비대칭확전(asymmetric...

[국내] Emerging strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific and the impact on the nuclear nonproliferation regime

...support the development of an independent South Korean nuclear weapons capability, over the deployment of US nuclear weapons. ‣ Neither of these options are likely to happen in practice. The most realistic option for South Korea is to strengthen US extended deterrence while strengthening South Korea’s own deterrence capability against North Korea. Impact on the nuclear non-proliferation regime: ‣...