[학술논문] Gathering Storm or Silver Lining Out of the Clouds? The North Korean Nuclear Issue and the Case for Coercive Diplomacy

...North Korea to decide on and implement the abolition of its nuclear program; and at the same time, the means of punishment used by the U.S. were limited due to the Iraq War, North Korea’s military <em>capability</em>, and the lack of coordination among the multiple coercers. This paper proposes that while the U.S. and its allies prepare a multi-faceted set of threats and incentives to persuade the North that...

[학위논문] 북한 핵 위협수준 분석과 맞춤형 재래식·핵통합(CNI) 억제방안

...The three-axis system subdivided the order of increasing the response strength into KMPR, KAMD, Kill-Chain. As for the <em>deterrence</em> measures by threat level, 9 <em>deterrence</em> measures were proposed by the 3×3 matrix. The criterion for evaluating the threat level is that nuclear <em>capability</em> is quantitatively evaluated based on the amount of reserves compared to the goal of possessing a nuclear warheads(300)...

[학술논문] 1970년대 한국 자주국방정책 연구-대통령 기록관 국방⋅안보관련 보고 문서를 중심으로-

...Self-Reliant Defense <em>capability</em> centering around the Self-Reliant Defense willing. In this period, the ROK actively evaluated national security meeting and formed strategic sympathy of the national leaders. Development Period(1971~1975) was the term that strengthened the Self-Reliant Defense willing through all-out national security and prepared the Self-Reliant Defense <em>capability</em> through the Yul Gok...

[학술논문] North Korea’s Nuclear Decision-making and Plausible Scenarios

North Korea continues to enhance its nuclear <em>capability</em>. The plenary meeting of the Korean Workers Party’s Central Committee, held on March 31, 2013, ended with a declaration of North Korea’s commitment to perfecting all its military and operational strategies, for <em>deterrence</em> and warfare alike, in a way that emphasizes the pivotal role of its nuclear weapons. In other words, North Korea has made known...

[학술논문] North Korean Nuclear Armament and Perspective on Nuclear Domino in Northeast Asia

North Korea had shown its nuclear <em>capability</em> through three nuclear tests. This threatens peace and stability in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia. When North Korea increases nuclear warheads with its miniaturization and has transportation measure, it is to intimidate neighboring countries directly, being under situation to be received nuclear horror and menace. If a nuclear-armed DPRK is not...

[국내] Worth the Squeeze: A Conditions-based Analysis of South Korean Public Support for Nuclear <em>Deterrence</em>

How badly do South Koreans want nuclear weapons? The 2025 Asan Poll found a record 76.2% public support for acquiring an indigenous nuclear weapons <em>capability</em> and 66.3% support for the redeployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons to the Korean Peninsula. One of the main critiques of such findings is that the headline figures misrepresent the public’s true commitment to nuclear armament or redeployment...

[국내] A Sixties Comeback: Restoring U.S. Nuclear Presence in Northeast Asia

...crisis. North Korea, China, and Russia are using their nuclear arsenals as cover to undermine the regional order. Meanwhile, South Korea and Japan must rely on the promise of U.S. extended nuclear <em>deterrence</em> commitments that can only be called upon in the event of nuclear war and which are otherwise ineffective at stopping the current nuclear arms race. Given the emerging Eurasian nuclear axis, it is...

[국내] 노동당 8기 4차 전원회의 이후 북한의 대외정책과 정세인식 변화

...missile tests. South Korea needs to develop military response by bolstering its independent defense system against North Korea’s expansion of nuclear <em>capability</em>, and securing reaffirmation of the United States’ commitment to provide extended <em>deterrence</em>. Simultaneously, it is also necessary to express South Korea’s intention to solve problems with the North through dialogue and cooperation, which would...

[국내] 하노이 회담 이후 북한 전술·전략 무기개발 동향과 핵 억제 교리 진화의 함의

...기술은 아직 신뢰성이 있는 수준에 미달 ■ 신형 전술·전략 무기가 시사하는 북한의 핵 억제 교리 ○ 신형 무기들은 북한이 미 본토에 대한 ‘최소 억제(minimum <em>deterrence</em>)’를 추구하고 있음을 다시 한번 확인 ○ 미 대도시에 대한 ‘제 2격 능력(second strike <em>capability</em>)’ 확보를 위해 핵무기의 생존성과 응징보복 능력 극대화에 주력(SLBM, 이동형 ICBM, 다탄두 등) ○ 신형 전술무기 개발은 한반도와 일본에 대한 전술핵 공격 능력 확보를 통해 미 증원군의 전개를 차단하려는 ‘거부적 억제(<em>deterrence</em> by denial)’ 전략의 일환 ○ 북한의 핵 태세가 ‘확증보복(assured retaliation)’에 그치지 않고 전술핵의 조기 사용을 불사하는 ‘비대칭확전(asymmetric...

[국내] Emerging strategic risks in the Asia-Pacific and the impact on the nuclear nonproliferation regime

...support the development of an independent South Korean nuclear weapons <em>capability</em>, over the deployment of US nuclear weapons. ‣ Neither of these options are likely to happen in practice. The most realistic option for South Korea is to strengthen US extended <em>deterrence</em> while strengthening South Korea’s own <em>deterrence</em> <em>capability</em> against North Korea. Impact on the nuclear non-proliferation regime: ‣...