[학술논문] The China-Russia-North Korea Triangle: Alignment or Axis?

...partnership. The China-Russia-North Korea triangle is thus a loose alignment with significant internal divisions, making it a less potent force compared to the Axis. However, US and allied policymakers must prevent closer alignment among China, Russia, and North Korea, since their possible coordinated nuclear threats could fundamentally challenge US nuclear extended deterrence for its non-nuclear allies.

[학위논문] AI 기반 정보혁신을 통한 한반도 핵 억제력 발전방향 연구

...strengthen nuclear deterrence on the Korean Peninsula through AI-based information innovation in response to North Korea's advancing nuclear and missile threats. This research examined the possibility of a new deterrence paradigm based on information technology superiority for the Republic of Korea, a non-nuclear state, to achieve effective nuclear deterrence. Since adopting the Nuclear Forces Policy...

[학술논문] Doomed to Fail? US Extended Deterrence for South Korea and the US Nonproliferation Goal

...temporarily quelling public opinion favoring Seoul’s nuclear-arming. However, it has failed to reduce South Koreans’ doubts about the credibility of US security commitments over extended deterrence. The goal of this article is to examine whether US extended deterrence for South Korea is still effective in deterring North Korea’s growing nuclear threats. The central thesis of this article is that the...

[학술논문] Fighting Fire Without Fire: Managing Nuclear Asymmetry in Korea

How can non-nuclear states deter nuclear-armed adversaries? This paper examines South Korea’s layered non-nuclear deterrence architecture vis-à-vis a nuclear North Korea across three compensatory domains: military denial, alliance consultation, and economic engagement. By examining official documents and scholarly literature, we wed deterrence theory with empirical evidence to trace how South Korea’s...

[학술논문] Opening Pandora's Box: Is South Korea's Nuclearization Feasible and Desirable?

The nuclear armament debate has become prominent in contemporary South Korean politics, driven by security concerns toward North Korea's nuclear development and the credibility of U.S. extended nuclear deterrence. The Trump 2.0 Presidency has further heightened the debate, with advocates claiming strategic opportunities and necessities for South Korea's nuclear independence. This article examines...

[국내] 다중전구시대 NATO의 전략적 적응과 핵 억제태세의 변화

...네트워크형 억제(Networked Deterrence)라는 새로운 개념이 등장하고 있다. 특히 러시아·중국 간 전략적 연계, 그리고 이에 대응하기 위해 제기되는 다중 전구 위기의 ‘전략적 동시성(strategic simultaneity)’ 개념은 NATO와 인도-태평양 협력을 단순한 지역협력이 아니라 미국의 글로벌 억제전략을 보완하는 핵심 요소로 변화시키고 있다. 이러한 변화는 한국에도 직접적인 전략적 함의를 갖는다. 러시아-북한 군사협력과 북한의 군사력 증강은 유럽 전장의 경험이 한반도 안보환경으로 전이되고 있음을 보여주며, 한국 역시 한반도 중심의 억제 개념을 넘어 인도-태평양 차원의 확장억제 구조 속에서 한미동맹의 역할을 재설계해야 한다. 이를 위해 NATO 핵기획그룹(Nuclear Planning Group...

[해외] U.S. Extended Deterrence and Regional Nuclear Capabilities

...stated goals of U.S. nuclear weapons policy has been to extend deterrence to over 30 U.S. "allies and partners" and assure these countries that the United States will come to their aid, including potentially by using U.S. nuclear weapons, if they are attacked. The 2010, 2018, and 2022 Nuclear Posture Reviews (NPRs), which are periodic executive branch assessments of U.S. nuclear policy, argued for strengthening...

[해외] Tracing Russian Linkages in North Korea’s Expanding Nuclear Complex

.... For regimes such as North Korea, nuclear autonomy has increasingly proven to be the main component of deterrence, stability, and power projection, making Russian assistance to Pyongyang’s military and nuclear modernization particularly consequential for the security environment in the Asia-Pacific region.

[해외] Should Japan change its approach to North Korean denuclearization?

...previous year have further complicated the Northeast Asian security environment. In response, Japan has pursued a dual strategy toward the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia: enhancing integrated deterrence through the Japan-U.S. alliance and deepening cooperation with South Korea, while promoting multilayered trilateral security cooperation. In recent years, Japan has intensified its cooperation with...

[국내] Status-Quo or Revisionism_Decoding North Korea’s Hostile Two-State via USFK

...Korea tolerates the continued presence of USFK. Although the doctrine is not unrelated to North Korea's advancing nuclear capabilities, interpreting it as evidence of a revisionist orientation conflates national strategy with military strategy. From this perspective, strengthening deterrence against North Korea at the military-strategic level and pursuing peaceful coexistence at the national-strategic...