[해외자료] U.S.-DPRK Negotiations and North Korean Provocations

The debate over how to deal with North Korea’s nuclear program has been raging for nearly 25 years. In this study, CSIS Beyond Parallel collected information on negotiations between the U.S. and North Korea to shed light on the present nuclear dilemma.

[해외자료] Negative Security Assurance and Nuclear Diplomacy: Implications for the Complete Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula

Despite past agreements and negotiation efforts with North Korea about the elimination of its nuclear program, there has been no clear and consistent understanding of what “complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula” (“CDKP”) actually means. Someinterpretit as the unilateral disarmament...

[해외자료] Living History with Former ROK Foreign Minister Han Sung-Joo

The objective of the agreement was to freeze and eventually dismantle North Korea’s nascent nuclear weapons program. Although not a signatory to the bilateral agreement, the Republic of Korea’s (ROK) participation was integral to the Agreement’s negotiation and implementation. In this oral history, Professor Han Sung-Joo, the ROK foreign minister from 1993-1994, discusses the consultations...

[해외자료] Summit Silver Lining: Absence of North Korean Provocations Continue

...President Trump’s impulsive actions and the unconventionality of the Singapore Summit. However, absent a complete breakdown of the encounter between the leaders, the summit is likely to produce a negotiation process between the United States and North Korea that will implement the mandates laid out by the leaders on denuclearization, security assurances, and a peace process on the Korean peninsula.

[해외자료] The Perfect Storm

In this episode, Andrew talks with resident North Korea experts Victor Cha and Sue Mi Terry about the failed U.S.-North Korea Stockholm talks and what they mean for the stalled nuclear negotiations.

[현안분석] 바이든 행정부의 대북정책 전망과 시사점

...members of the Biden team are changing their approach to the North Korean nuclear issue. In the Biden era, South Korea's diplomatic role in Korean Peninsulaissues is expected to expand. South Korea needs to build diplomatic and policy capabilitiesto expand its role in the multilateral negotiation environment, too. To this end, thegovernment should urgently come up with...

[학술논문] An Uneasy Status Quo: Muddling through Nuclear Negotiations

...the help of President Donald Trump. Yet two years and three Trump-Kim meetings later, we are still at the pre-summitry status quo, with Kim this month reaffirming North Korea’s position as a nuclear weapons power. The past 19 months of summits have not moved North Korea closer to denuclearization, rather, they have enabled North Korea to make their weapons more diverse, more mobile, more accurate...

[학위논문] 미국 연방 의회와 대통령 관계가 북미 제네바 합의에 미친 영향

본고는 1차 북핵위기 이래 클린턴 행정부 시기 북미간 협상을 통해 제네바 기본 합의문이 체결되고, 임기 동안 동 합의가 유지되다가, 부시 행정부 등장 후붕괴되는 과정에 있어 미국 의회와 대통령의 관계 양상이 미친 영향을 연구하였다. 본고는 위기 시 국제분쟁 협상 모형을 통해 야당과 대통령이라는 두 전략적 행위자와 상대방의 선택을 설명하는 이론을 도입하고, 동 이론을 미국 의회와 대통령의 관계가 행위자 선택과 상대국의 인식에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석으로 확장하고자 하였다. 이 같은 확장 이론을 가지고, 제네바 합의 전 주기 동안 미국 행정부의 대북 정책 결정과 미국 의회의 선택에 대한 북한의 반응을 분석하고자 하였다. 그리고 이론적 분석을 바탕으로 역사적 접근법을 통해 이론의 적실성을 검증하고자 하였다

[현안분석] Extended Deterrent Effect of China and Its Implications on the U.S.-N. Korean Nuclear Negotiation

...credibility, China is unlikely to facilitate N. Korea to undergo complete denuclearization, even more clarifying N. Korea’s motivation to develop nuclear weapons and missile capabilities as a deterrent purpose for national security. Accordingly, the U.S. can find itself a primary determinant for the successful nuclear bargain with N. Korea, at least not in conclusive support of China.

[학술논문] 북한의 대남 회색지대 전략: 개념, 수단 그리고 전망

...pre-declared type’s Gray Zone provocations. Second, diplomatically, North Korea is trying to circumvent skillfully the red-line of international sanctions, and create a vicious circle of negotiation and provocation. Third, informationally, North Korea is making provocations that actively utilize the psychology of the Korean people who fear a full-scale war, and conducting cyber provocations...