[학술논문] Strategic Costs and Russia’s Shifting Calculus on Nuclear Assistance to North Korea

...the Cold War, the Soviet Union restrained North Korea’s nuclear program because proliferation would have undermined its own security, regional influence, and alliance control. In the post–Cold War period, Russia’s decline reduced these costs, but fears of regional instability and reactive proliferation still discouraged nuclear assistance. Since 2017, two structural changes have altered this calculus...

[학술논문] Korea–Japan Relations in 2025: The Solidification of Security Cooperation and the Fading of History

...economic and security arrangements to better accommodate American imperatives. Amid this heightened state of uncertainty and instability, the history issue faded somewhat in significance – or more to the point, it had to be considered alongside present and future security (and to a lesser degree, economic) imperatives. Rather than being faced with a choice between prioritising security over history...

[학술논문] People’s Exit in North Korea: New Threat to Regime Stability?

...regional security issue, the growing number of North Korean border-crossers has far-reaching political implications for both North Korea and the international community. Studies have argued that refugees could contribute significantly to democratic change in their home countries by assisting and actively participating in the struggle of the domestic opposition, even sparking regime instability and eventual...

[학술논문] Stalemate and Beyond: The North Korean Nuclear Impasse and Its Future

...irrelevant except as a potential source of instability. (South Korea, in particular, is emerging as an increasingly important and sophisticated player on the world stage, even as the United States seeks to maintain a vigorous and engaged forward regional presence in diplomatic, economic, and military terms.) As East Asia develops a “post-DPRK” political order the security of which cannot be ensured except...

[학술논문] 한중국교정상화 이후 중국의 대북 영향력 변화에 관한 고찰 - 북․중관계의 변용을 중심으로 -

...North Korea on the Northeast Asian region is quite significant. The nuclear issue of North Korea has emerged as the most important diplomatic and security challenges in Northeast Asian countries, and becomes a more sensitive issue due to the instability of the North Korean situation. In order to settle these diplomatic challenges and to maintain peace and stability in the region, it is very important...

[해외] North Korea as It Is: The Case for a Cold Peace

...first nuclear test. Yet concerned government officials and observant journalists recognized that North Korea was intent on obtaining nuclear weapons and would likely become a source of regional instability. Three and a half decades later, North Korea has blown past even the most pessimistic predictions of its nuclear development. It has amassed 50 nuclear bombs and stockpiled enough plutonium and...

[국내] U.S. Contingency Plan for North Korea’s Regime Collapse

...allies. This paper divides and evaluates possible North Korean contingency into three stages: an early stage with beginning of domestic instability, a complete breakdown of political order with no political authority in charge of domestic control, and a post-instability reconstruction stage. This paper scrutinizes the U.S. policies in each stage. In doing so, the US will face major challenges of finding...

[국내] 트럼프 1기 이후 중러 군사협력 현황과 시사점

...security partnership by expanding joint military exercises, institutionalizing high-level dialogues, and deepening cooperation in defense industries and military technologies. This cooperation extends beyond a mere anti-U.S. political alignment and is evolving into tangible force integration and enhanced operational capabilities. As a result, it contributes to growing instability in the security environment...

[국내] 글로벌 핵질서의 변화와 한국의 안보정책 과제

...military technology and the interconnection of nuclear issues are increasing the instability of the international nuclear order. Domestic political factors in nuclear states, such as political polarization in democratic countries and authoritarian policy-making in some nuclear states, are also contributing to the instability of the nuclear order. The weakening of the existing strategic arms control system...

[국내] 북한 핵전략 변화의 쟁점과 과제: 파키스탄의 전범위억제와 비교

...weapons system. North Korea also faces the challenge of securing second-strike capabilities through the development of intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities. By attempting to resolve the instability caused by the gap between nuclear capabilities and doctrine, North Korea is likely to undermine stability in Northeast Asia. In order to reduce North Korea's provocative missile launches, it is...