[학술논문] People’s Exit in North Korea: New Threat to Regime Stability?

...regional security issue, the growing number of North Korean border-crossers has far-reaching political implications for both North Korea and the international community. Studies have argued that refugees could contribute significantly to democratic change in their home countries by assisting and actively participating in the struggle of the domestic opposition, even sparking regime instability and eventual...

[학술논문] Stalemate and Beyond: The North Korean Nuclear Impasse and Its Future

...irrelevant except as a potential source of instability. (South Korea, in particular, is emerging as an increasingly important and sophisticated player on the world stage, even as the United States seeks to maintain a vigorous and engaged forward regional presence in diplomatic, economic, and military terms.) As East Asia develops a “post-DPRK” political order the security of which cannot be ensured except...

[학술논문] 한중국교정상화 이후 중국의 대북 영향력 변화에 관한 고찰 - 북․중관계의 변용을 중심으로 -

...North Korea on the Northeast Asian region is quite significant. The nuclear issue of North Korea has emerged as the most important diplomatic and security challenges in Northeast Asian countries, and becomes a more sensitive issue due to the instability of the North Korean situation. In order to settle these diplomatic challenges and to maintain peace and stability in the region, it is very important...

[학술논문] Sino-American Relations and the Unification of the Korean Peninsula

...periodic instability, I propose policy options that reflect China’s increased relative capability vis-à-vis American capability and utilize the concept of strategic pragmatism. Korea’s options include positive peaceful coexistence, deepened inter-Korean cooperation based on the wotrack strategy, peninsular arms control along with the institutionalization of Northeast Asian multilateral security cooperation...

[학술논문] Changing Security Landscape of Northeast Asia in Transition : A View from Japan

...continues to develop long-range ballistic missiles. With anotherconsistent effort to develop nuclear weapons, North Korea causes unpredictable instability in Northeast Asia. And rising China brings about even more unpredictability (although not necessarily instability) in this region. After two-decade rapid economic growth, China overtook Japan as a national GDP scale to be the second largest economy in...

[국내] U.S. Contingency Plan for North Korea’s Regime Collapse

...allies. This paper divides and evaluates possible North Korean contingency into three stages: an early stage with beginning of domestic instability, a complete breakdown of political order with no political authority in charge of domestic control, and a post-instability reconstruction stage. This paper scrutinizes the U.S. policies in each stage. In doing so, the US will face major challenges of finding...

[국내] 트럼프 1기 이후 중러 군사협력 현황과 시사점

...security partnership by expanding joint military exercises, institutionalizing high-level dialogues, and deepening cooperation in defense industries and military technologies. This cooperation extends beyond a mere anti-U.S. political alignment and is evolving into tangible force integration and enhanced operational capabilities. As a result, it contributes to growing instability in the security environment...

[국내] 글로벌 핵질서의 변화와 한국의 안보정책 과제

...military technology and the interconnection of nuclear issues are increasing the instability of the international nuclear order. Domestic political factors in nuclear states, such as political polarization in democratic countries and authoritarian policy-making in some nuclear states, are also contributing to the instability of the nuclear order. The weakening of the existing strategic arms control system...

[국내] 북한 핵전략 변화의 쟁점과 과제: 파키스탄의 전범위억제와 비교

...weapons system. North Korea also faces the challenge of securing second-strike capabilities through the development of intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities. By attempting to resolve the instability caused by the gap between nuclear capabilities and doctrine, North Korea is likely to undermine stability in Northeast Asia. In order to reduce North Korea's provocative missile launches, it is...

[국내] The Likelihood of China-Russia-North Korea Alliance and South Korea’s Response Strategies

...pressure on the ROK, the U.S., and Japan, creating instability and tension on the Korean peninsula. If China felt severely burdened by North Korea’s provocations as they prompt ROK-US-Japan military responses, then China wouldn’t have actively defended North Korea together with Russia, citing ‘legitimate security concerns’ at a United Nations Security Council meeting. Now, China no longer views North...