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학술자료
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[학술논문] 1990년대 초 한국인들의 대미 인식에 영향을 미친 요인들
...the historical implications that the coming of the post-Cold War era has for subsequent South Korean perceptions of the United States. Historically, the North Korean military threat has most influenced South Korean perception of the United States. It has justified the ROK-U.S. alliance and the presence of U.S. forces in South Korea. With the emergence of the North Korean nuclear crisis in the spring...
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[학술논문] 북한의 위협인식과 전략적 선택의 메커니즘 연구1960~1970년대 군사적 모험주의 사례를 중심으로
이 연구는 전망이론을 통해 북한지도부의 ‘위협인식(threat perception) 과 전략적 선택과정’, 즉 ‘군사적 모험주의’가 작동되는 메커니즘을 분석하고자 했다. 북한은 대외적 상황을 인식하는 과정에서 자신의 위치를손실영역과 이익영역, 그리고 극단적 손실영역 중 어느 한 위치로 인식하고 있었다. 또한 이러한 인식은 국내적 정치상황의 안정성 정도와 연계되어 군사적 모험주의를 선택할 것인지, 아니면 타협 / 유화정책을 시행할것인지를 결정하게 했다. 연구결과를 정리하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 북한은 대외적 상황인식을 통해 손실영역에 위치하고 있다고 인식하고, 국내적 정치상황이 불안정할 경우에는 일종의 위험감수전략으로서군사적 모험주의를 선택했다. 1960년대 말 한반도에...
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[학술논문] China’s Threat Perception and Response Strategy toward the THAAD Deployment in South Korea－Focusing on Power, Identity, Geopolitics Factors－
...when the perceived North Korean nuclear threat was at its peak. Since then, China has strongly voiced its opinions, pressuring the South Korean government both diplomatically and in the form of economic retaliation. It is proving difficult to find a breakthrough. This paper points out the importance of accurately identifying China’s perceived threat in resolving the conflict of South Korea-...
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[학술논문] International Environment and Domestic Political Change in North Korea from 1961 to 1967: How Threat Perception Funneled down into the Monolithic Ideological System
...went more independent and aggressive especially after the Cultural Revolution in China. The North’s threat and later crisis perception and domestic forces’ response to the new interna-tional settings made Kim Il Sung regard even the slightest dissent or dissatisfaction as a threat to himself. If such a challenge were combined with foreign powers, it could be a great danger to his crown...
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[학술논문] The Evolving North Korean Nuclear Threat and the Strategic Dynamics of the ROK-U.S. Alliance: A Rapidly Increasing Nuclear Threat and the Necessity of A New Adjustment Strategy
... U.S.-China competition, necessitate a reassessment of alliance development strategies. The analysis identifies a critical need to address differences in threat perception between the allies, driven by North Korea’s increased missile tests and ICBM advancements, which cast doubt on the effectiveness of existing deterrence posture. The study emphasizes that aligning ROK-U.S. strategic priorities...
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