[학술논문] Strategic Costs and Russia’s Shifting Calculus on Nuclear Assistance to North Korea
Is Russia likely to provide sensitive nuclear assistance to North Korea? Drawing on the strategic theory of nuclear proliferation, this article explains why Moscow withheld such assistance for four decades and why the structural conditions that underpinned that policy have now eroded. During the Cold War, the Soviet Union restrained North Korea’s nuclear program because proliferation would have undermined...
[학술논문] South Korea-United States Relations in 2025: Lee Adjusts to Trump as the U.S.-China Conflict Deepens
...foreign policy agenda, struck a bargain with Trump that was surprisingly satisfactory for both sides. Korea committed to significant new investments in the U.S., along with more defense spending and burden-sharing, in exchange for the best-available access to the U.S. market (mostly, a 15 percent tariff level) and U.S. support for Korea enriching and reprocessing civilian nuclear fuel and building...
[학술논문] Lessons from Russia's Nuclear Forward‐Deployment to Belarus for the USA and South Korea
Following Belarus's request, Russia deployed its nuclear weapons to Belarus within one or two years, whereas the USA has not even engaged in discussions on a similar option for South Korea, which has faced an existential nuclear threat from North Korea. This article seeks to extract key insights from Belarus's experience and propose corresponding policy implications for the US–South Korea alliance. In...
[학술논문] The Effects of the US-China Trade Conflict on South Korea
...denuclearize North Korea, as was the case before. The trade war between the US and China will have profound implications for South Korea’s foreign policy towards both the US and China. Washington is likely to put pressure on Seoul to choose between Washington and Beijing. The hedging approach is unlikely to be sustainable. Thus, the Lee administration is likely to face difficult foreign policy challenges.
[학술논문] ROK-U.S. Cooperation in Preparation for Hostile Actions by North Korea in Possession of Nuclear Weapons
... (NPR) is not really adequate, being rather general in its tone and content. This article analyzes this credibility issue pertaining to the U.S. extended deterrence, along with the North Korean nuclear threats and their security implications, and finally proposes a series of measures and policy implications to enhance theROKU.S. security mechanism.