[교육지원] [2018 통일나눔펀드 지원사업] Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

...forum, this project will make two major contributions to the existing scholarship, policy debates, and public understanding of Korean unification: 1) it moves the policy debates beyond the traditional focus on German unification; and 2) it will present a 360‐degree view of unification that looks beyond the question of North Korean contingencies and/or state collapse. This project strives to study those...

[해외자료] The Markets: Private Economy and Capitalism in North Korea?

The growth of markets is the single most significant socioeconomic development to occur in North Korea over the last 20 years. An understanding of this change is critical for the formulation of North Korea policy, but the underlying issues have been relatively understudied in comparison to North Korea’s nuclear weapons program and prospects for denuclearization.

[해외자료] Subconventional Stability on the Korean Peninsula: Lessons From South Asia

... nuclear-weapons-state-2013"encompass almost all thinkable nuclear, non- nuclear and political crisis situations.” This new policy partly reflects North Koreanconcernsabout the growing sophistication of South Korea’s missile capabilities...

[해외자료] South Korea as a Nuclear State: Trade-offs and Choices

...href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/12/world/asia/south- korea- nuclear-weapons.html"voicedthe possibility of either building nuclear weapons indigenously or redeploying US tactical nuclear weapons in the face of an ever-growing nuclear threat from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK or North Korea). This reoriented the debate on South Korea’s own nuclear ambitions.

[해외자료] Seven Takeaways from the April 27 Inter-Korean Summit: Issues and Assessments

...net/Government/Current-Affairs/National-Affairs/view?affairId=656subId=641articleId=3354"Panmunjom Declaration. The former reflects how North Korea has aimed to use summitry as a vehicle to revive the sunshine policy of South Korea, dating back to the era of the “June...

[해외자료] Examining Kim’s Approach to Construction: Project Wonsan

... north- korea-economy- nuclear-talks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" policyin recent years. Throughout his tenure, he has also shown a preference for being hands-on for high priority projects whether overseeing multiple missile tests or guiding the course of major construction projects to ensure his goals are accomplished.

[정치/군사] Nuclear North Korea

Victor D. Cha and David C. Kang’s Nuclear North Koreawas first published in 2003 amid the outbreak of a lasting crisis over the North Korean nuclear program. It promptly became a landmark of an ongoing debate in academic and policy circles about whether to engage or contain North Korea. Fifteen years later, as North Korea tests intercontinental ballistic missiles and the U...

[학술논문] Choosing a Path to the Elusive Goal of DPRK Denuclearization

...achieve North Korean denuclearization, describes what appears to be the North Korea policy of the Biden administration, and analyzes what may emerge as a significant debate about which, if any, incremental approach to denuclearization is most likely to succeed. The terms “freeze” or “cap” are often used to describe the objective of initial or early steps to limit North Korea’s...

[현안분석] North Korea’s Nuclear Ambition: Is Nuclear Reversal Too Late?

North Korea continues to provoke nuclear crises despite international pressure. This study identifies North Korea’s motives and thereby a policy to induce North Korea to forgo existing nuclear weapons and programs. I synthesize the literature and theory of nuclear abstinence and proliferation, assess which policy drivers led Pyongyang to persist in seeking nuclear capability in the post-Cold...

[학위논문] 시진핑 집권기 대북정책 변화에 관한 연구, 2012-2019 - 정치지도자의 국내정치적 이해관계를 중심으로 -

본 논문은 갈등과 우호의 극적인 변화가 두드러졌던 시진핑 집권기(2012∼2019년) 중국의 대북정책 변화요인을 정치지도자 시진핑의 국내정치적 이해관계를 중심으로 분석한다. 북한과 공개 비방을 주고받을 정도로 갈등을 겪었던 시진핑 집권 1기의 대북정책은 집권 2기에 접어들어 약 1년 3개월 동안 5차례의 정상회담을 진행할 정도로 우호적으로 변화하였다. 종래 학계는 시진핑 집권기 중국의 대북정책 결정요인을 미·중 관계, 중국의 對한반도 영향력 확대, 중국의 국가정체성 변경 등으로 설명해왔다. 그러나 시진핑 집권기의 대북정책 변화가 워낙 극적이었기 때문에, 그러한 변화를 일관성 있게 설명하는 것은 상당한 난제로 여겨졌다. 본 논문은 종래 학계에서 대북정책 결정요인으로 주목받지 못했던

[학위논문] 미국의 대북정책 영향요인 연구 : 부시·오바마 정부의 북핵대응 과정 사례연구

이 논문의 연구 목적은 2000년대초 미국의 대북정책에 대한 영향 요인을 분석하는 것이다. 부시 정부는 9amp#823111 테러 이후 신보수주의적 외교정책을 표방했지만, 2차 북핵위기에 직면하여 외교적 해결방식에 방점을 두고 6자회담을 통한 문제해결을 모색했다. 반면 오바마 정부는 출범 당시 북한 문제를 유연하게 다뤄 나갈 것을 공언했지만, 큰 틀에서 ‘전략적 인내’ 기조를 유지하는 가운데 대북제재와 압박을 강화했다. 북핵문제에 대처하는 부시 정부와 오바마 정부의 대북정책 결정에 어떤 요인들이 중요하게 영향을 미쳤는지 관심을 갖게 하는 대목이다. 두 정부 시기에 대한 사례연구를 위해 본 논문은 부시amp#8231오바마 정부 시기를 각 4개 국면 총 8개 국면으로

[학위논문] 북한 도발 시 대통령 대응과 여론

...“audience cost theory”, the government which adhered to a tight-control policy toward North Korea did not respond forcefully to North Korea's provocations but rather responded cautiously regarding the initial response. On the other hand, the government which has been promoting a policy of reconciliation with North Korea responded more strongly than before. However, if the initial response was...